TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126787
Played Sep 14Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
12141012711––––
Radovan Pisa
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:07 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeRadovan Pisa to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 66 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Radovan Pisa at 54.7%
66 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 43–62 Radovan Pisa Stepan Rejent has won 43 of their 105 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 22:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pisa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-62 in 105
Pisa
Correct
gap of 19 in 105, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1624 vs Pisa 1738
Pisa
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 60% vs Pisa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 40% vs Pisa 70%
Pisa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent -1 · Pisa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pisa)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.91 / Pisa 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Pisa)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13126787
Rejent1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 85 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 64
Pisa1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 73 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it65% 53 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent4wins
AwayPisa6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPisa leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent50%3 of 6
AwayPisa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent6Pisa4n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S2Rejent2Pisa8n = 10Pisa took 8 of 10
S3Rejent3Pisa7n = 10Pisa took 7 of 10
S4Rejent5Pisa3n = 8Rejent took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentPisaR − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.538.0−3.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 782 vs 382 / 78746.8%48.5%366 / 782 vs 382 / 787Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaRejent 1.91/Pisa 1.80
Hit
What we said
54.7%
Pisa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 17:45S. Rejent31118571R. Pisa3961111113
LAug 26 · 15:45S. Rejent197840R. Pisa331111113
LAug 18 · 18:45S. Rejent3611461142R. Pisa46411119113
LAug 11 · 16:14S. Rejent397156111R. Pisa48111311133
LAug 11 · 14:15S. Rejent249960R. Pisa331111113
WJul 23 · 13:15S. Rejent4111611133R. Pisa262112111
WJul 2 · 18:45S. Rejent4014411113R. Pisa361211851
WJun 11 · 13:30S. Rejent49911711113R. Pisa4311911842
LMay 26 · 19:00S. Rejent27114931R. Pisa3961111113
WMay 14 · 14:30S. Rejent3911511123R. Pisa378118101
S. Rejent10
LSep 10 · 16:14J. Sr1.4411126133S. Rejent2.6341011111WSep 10 · 15:15S. Rejent2.25101512113J. Sr1.5712131081WSep 10 · 14:15S. Rejent1.91111285133L. Svoboda1.809101111112WSep 10 · 13:15S. Rejent2.50111146133M. Zelinka1.50741111112LSep 9 · 16:23S. Rejent1.5311991162O. Mezera2.38311119113WSep 9 · 15:15O. Mezera2.259770S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 9 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67711991J. Senk2.1011611113LSep 9 · 13:45S. Rejent1.7378111192M. Myler2.00111156113LSep 8 · 16:19V. Grubr1.91611115113S. Rejent1.8011491182LSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962
R. Pisa10
WSep 14 · 14:15O. Mezera2.3891111852R. Pisa1.53118511113WSep 13 · 20:43R. Pisa2.25951111123J. Sr1.57111196102LSep 13 · 19:45J. Sr1.4012129113R. Pisa2.7510101131WSep 13 · 18:45M. Kocvara1.8310490R. Pisa1.831211113WSep 13 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.731111115112R. Pisa2.00913211133LSep 10 · 09:03R. Pisa1.8311713101M. Kocvara1.8341115123WSep 10 · 08:00L. Veigl1.6710118101R. Pisa2.1012711123WSep 10 · 07:00J. Senk1.916101415122R. Pisa1.8011121213143WSep 10 · 05:30M. Kocvara1.8311891192R. Pisa1.83811119113LSep 8 · 12:29M. Makara1.91111185123R. Pisa1.80891111102
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