TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126457
Played Sep 13Finished
Radovan Pisa
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9115111191161210
Jan Krames Sr
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRadovan Pisa above · Jan Krames Sr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 95 set 5, 12-10
95 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Pisa 42–71 Jan Krames Sr Radovan Pisa has won 42 of their 113 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Sr beat Pisa 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisa 2.25 / Sr 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Sr)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13126457
Pisa2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 78 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back28% 27 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 53
Sr1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 116 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it89% 64 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it78% 97 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePisa2wins
AwaySr8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSr leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePisa66.7%2 of 3
AwaySr100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pisa3Sr7n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S2Pisa6Sr4n = 10Pisa took 6 of 10
S3Pisa5Sr5n = 10split evenly
S4Pisa2Sr6n = 8Sr took 6 of 8
S5Pisa0Sr3n = 3Sr took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPisaSrP − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.241.1−6.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisaSrBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 787 vs 391 / 70048.5%55.9%382 / 787 vs 391 / 700Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.540.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrPisa 2.25/Sr 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 19:45R. Pisa3410101131J. Sr4412129113
LJul 11 · 18:45R. Pisa29661161J. Sr4011117113
LJul 9 · 15:30R. Pisa206590J. Sr331111113
WJul 2 · 20:13R. Pisa4111117123J. Sr389811101
LJul 2 · 17:15R. Pisa48131191052J. Sr511161112113
LJul 1 · 17:45R. Pisa19311321J. Sr4211911113
LJun 16 · 19:15R. Pisa371412381J. Sr48161011113
WMay 27 · 14:45R. Pisa331111113J. Sr196670
LMay 26 · 18:00R. Pisa4157121162J. Sr471111104113
LMay 14 · 14:00R. Pisa4051111852J. Sr49118811113
R. Pisa10
LSep 13 · 19:45J. Sr1.4012129113R. Pisa2.7510101131WSep 13 · 18:45M. Kocvara1.8310490R. Pisa1.831211113WSep 13 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.731111115112R. Pisa2.00913211133LSep 10 · 09:03R. Pisa1.8311713101M. Kocvara1.8341115123WSep 10 · 08:00L. Veigl1.6710118101R. Pisa2.1012711123WSep 10 · 07:00J. Senk1.916101415122R. Pisa1.8011121213143WSep 10 · 05:30M. Kocvara1.8311891192R. Pisa1.83811119113LSep 8 · 12:29M. Makara1.91111185123R. Pisa1.80891111102WSep 8 · 11:30R. Pisa1.67111111123M. Makara2.107713101LSep 8 · 10:30R. Pisa1.6197111182T. Liska2.20111184113
J. Sr10
WSep 13 · 19:45J. Sr1.4012129113R. Pisa2.7510101131LSep 13 · 18:15M. Vyskocil2.5014612163J. Sr1.50121110141WSep 13 · 17:45M. Kocvara2.634530J. Sr1.441111113WSep 12 · 20:15Z. Sedivy1.807960J. Sr1.911111113LSep 12 · 19:15D. Gasparovic1.83111012113J. Sr1.838121061WSep 12 · 18:45J. Sr1.57114911113M. Makara2.2531111672LSep 12 · 17:45J. Sr1.67131212382Z. Sedivy2.1011101411113WSep 10 · 16:14J. Sr1.4411126133S. Rejent2.6341011111LSep 10 · 15:15S. Rejent2.25101512113J. Sr1.5712131081WSep 10 · 14:45J. Sr1.8311126113M. Zelinka1.837101151
Upcoming Matches
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J. Sr
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