TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122676
Played Sep 13Finished
Marek Vyskocil
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
141261112101614––
Jan Krames Sr
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:00 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJan Krames Sr to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Vyskocil above · Jan Krames Sr below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 16-14
Point 95 set 4, 16-14 — our read held Jan Krames Sr at 62.5%
95 points played in total.
H2H Marek Vyskocil 0–1 Jan Krames Sr Marek Vyskocil has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1697 vs Sr 1756
Sr
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 20% vs Sr 60%
Sr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 30% vs Sr 70%
Sr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil -2 · Sr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 2.50 / Sr 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Sr)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122676
Vyskocil2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 28 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back36% 10 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Sr1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite59% won 116 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it89% 64 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it78% 97 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVyskocil0wins
AwaySr1wins
Sr leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVyskocilSrV − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.046.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilSrBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 409 vs 392 / 70054%56%221 / 409 vs 392 / 700Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.540.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrVyskocil 2.50/Sr 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 3 · 15:15M. Vyskocil391114771J. Sr4681611113
M. Vyskocil10
LSep 13 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.8311101161M. Kocvara1.8311213113LSep 13 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.731111115112R. Pisa2.00913211133LSep 13 · 11:15M. Vyskocil1.6151111772O. Mezera2.20117711103WSep 13 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.7311119113T. Liska2.00591121LSep 13 · 09:15M. Vyskocil2.1010560M. Makara1.671211113LSep 7 · 12:23M. Vyskocil2.6311681182L. Adam1.44811117113WSep 7 · 11:45M. Vyskocil1.671081111123R. Pisa2.10121167102LSep 7 · 10:15A. Radkovsky2.257111511113M. Vyskocil1.5711817872LSep 7 · 09:45L. Adam1.671113113M. Vyskocil2.1061180WSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113
J. Sr10
WSep 13 · 19:45J. Sr1.4012129113R. Pisa2.7510101131WSep 13 · 17:45M. Kocvara2.634530J. Sr1.441111113WSep 12 · 20:15Z. Sedivy1.807960J. Sr1.911111113LSep 12 · 19:15D. Gasparovic1.83111012113J. Sr1.838121061WSep 12 · 18:45J. Sr1.57114911113M. Makara2.2531111672LSep 12 · 17:45J. Sr1.67131212382Z. Sedivy2.1011101411113WSep 10 · 16:14J. Sr1.4411126133S. Rejent2.6341011111LSep 10 · 15:15S. Rejent2.25101512113J. Sr1.5712131081WSep 10 · 14:45J. Sr1.8311126113M. Zelinka1.837101151WSep 10 · 13:45J. Sr1.6714119113L. Svoboda2.101291151
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