TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126950
Played Sep 14Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311116511811118
Michal Makara
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeStepan Rejent to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Stepan Rejent at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 51–37 Michal Makara Michal Makara has won 37 of their 88 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 23:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rejent
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-37 in 88
Rejent
Correct
gap of 14 in 88, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1615 vs Makara 1660
Makara
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 60% vs Makara 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 40% vs Makara 60%
Makara
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent -2 · Makara +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makara form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.67 / Makara 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rejent)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13126950
Rejent1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 76 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it74% 55 of 74
Makara2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 159 of 344
Down 0–1, comes back25% 45 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent6wins
AwayMakara4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRejent leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent60%3 of 5
AwayMakara40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent5Makara5n = 10split evenly
S2Rejent7Makara3n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10
S3Rejent6Makara4n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S4Rejent3Makara4n = 7Makara took 4 of 7
S5Rejent2Makara2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentMakaraR − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.436.8+3.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 771 vs 502 / 104746.8%48%361 / 771 vs 502 / 1047Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentRejent 1.67/Makara 2.10
Hit
What we said
54%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rejent won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 15:45S. Rejent4811911892M. Makara48911611113
WAug 24 · 14:15S. Rejent3941311113M. Makara341111661
WAug 23 · 13:15S. Rejent331111113M. Makara228590
WAug 16 · 18:45S. Rejent4071111113M. Makara29118731
WAug 11 · 13:15S. Rejent5511111111113M. Makara4769131362
LJul 28 · 15:45S. Rejent4311713662M. Makara517111111113
LJul 6 · 16:49S. Rejent371011971M. Makara3612211113
WJul 6 · 15:45S. Rejent538121111113M. Makara51111013982
WJul 5 · 19:15S. Rejent331111113M. Makara174580
LJun 19 · 15:00S. Rejent239950M. Makara331111113
S. Rejent10
LSep 14 · 13:45S. Rejent1.91121070R. Pisa1.801412113LSep 10 · 16:14J. Sr1.4411126133S. Rejent2.6341011111WSep 10 · 15:15S. Rejent2.25101512113J. Sr1.5712131081WSep 10 · 14:15S. Rejent1.91111285133L. Svoboda1.809101111112WSep 10 · 13:15S. Rejent2.50111146133M. Zelinka1.50741111112LSep 9 · 16:23S. Rejent1.5311991162O. Mezera2.38311119113WSep 9 · 15:15O. Mezera2.259770S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 9 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67711991J. Senk2.1011611113LSep 9 · 13:45S. Rejent1.7378111192M. Myler2.00111156113LSep 8 · 16:19V. Grubr1.91611115113S. Rejent1.8011491182
M. Makara10
WSep 14 · 13:15O. Mezera2.2069111582M. Makara1.611111813113LSep 13 · 11:45T. Liska2.251611113M. Makara1.5714890WSep 13 · 10:45O. Mezera2.2511147101M. Makara1.5771611123WSep 13 · 09:15M. Vyskocil2.1010560M. Makara1.671211113LSep 12 · 20:45M. Makara1.8341010D. Gasparovic1.831112113WSep 12 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.737990M. Makara2.001111113LSep 12 · 18:45J. Sr1.57114911113M. Makara2.2531111672WSep 12 · 17:15D. Gasparovic1.446890M. Makara2.631111113LSep 12 · 12:46M. Makara1.8312940L. Svoboda1.831411113WSep 12 · 11:45L. Svoboda1.50116561M. Makara2.5081111113
Upcoming Matches
S. Rejent
Nothing scheduled
M. Makara
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.