TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121772
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Liska
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1614118119––––
Michal Makara
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Makara to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Liska above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 69 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Michal Makara at 59.3%
69 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Liska 45–49 Michal Makara Tomas Liska has won 45 of their 94 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:52What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Makara
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-49 in 94
Makara
Wrong
gap of 4 in 94, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Liska 1685 vs Makara 1685
Liska
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Liska 40% vs Makara 60%
Makara
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Liska 60% vs Makara 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Liska -1 · Makara +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Makara)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLiska 2.25 / Makara 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Makara)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13121772
Liska2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 79 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back19% 22 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Makara1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 38 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it69% 27 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLiska4wins
AwayMakara6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMakara leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLiska75%3 of 4
AwayMakara83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Liska4Makara6n = 10Makara took 6 of 10
S2Liska6Makara4n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S3Liska7Makara3n = 10Liska took 7 of 10
S4Liska1Makara6n = 7Makara took 6 of 7
S5Liska2Makara3n = 5Makara took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLiskaMakaraL − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.441.9+1.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLiskaMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime398 / 864 vs 502 / 104746.1%48%398 / 864 vs 502 / 1047Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakaraLiska 2.25/Makara 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Makara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Liska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 10:00T. Liska351113113M. Makara2461170
WAug 29 · 09:30T. Liska561111149113M. Makara47313121182
LAug 20 · 09:30T. Liska51713111192M. Makara55111599113
LAug 15 · 15:45T. Liska491011117102M. Makara48125811123
LAug 8 · 17:15T. Liska359101151M. Makara4311129113
LAug 3 · 15:45T. Liska2814770M. Makara381611113
WAug 1 · 12:54T. Liska53815118113M. Makara50111371182
LAug 1 · 09:15T. Liska5611121112102M. Makara523101314123
LJul 28 · 08:58T. Liska388119101M. Makara3811411123
WJul 28 · 08:00T. Liska331111113M. Makara248880
T. Liska10
LSep 13 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.7311119113T. Liska2.00591121WSep 13 · 09:45O. Mezera3.0071181282T. Liska1.361171110113LSep 8 · 12:58L. Veigl1.911111113T. Liska1.807690LSep 8 · 12:00T. Liska2.101015771L. Veigl1.67121311113WSep 8 · 10:30R. Pisa1.6197111182T. Liska2.20111184113WSep 8 · 10:00M. Makara1.6761170T. Liska2.101113113LSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113WSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113WSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123
M. Makara10
WSep 13 · 10:45O. Mezera2.2511147101M. Makara1.5771611123WSep 13 · 09:15M. Vyskocil2.1010560M. Makara1.671211113LSep 12 · 20:45M. Makara1.8341010D. Gasparovic1.831112113WSep 12 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.737990M. Makara2.001111113LSep 12 · 18:45J. Sr1.57114911113M. Makara2.2531111672WSep 12 · 17:15D. Gasparovic1.446890M. Makara2.631111113LSep 12 · 12:46M. Makara1.8312940L. Svoboda1.831411113WSep 12 · 11:45L. Svoboda1.50116561M. Makara2.5081111113WSep 12 · 10:45V. Burylov1.80111071182M. Makara1.91612119113LSep 8 · 10:00M. Makara1.6761170T. Liska2.101113113
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