TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12354574
Played Aug 3Finished
Martin Vana
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811811––––
Radovan Pisa
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMartin Vana above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 60 set 3, 8-11
60 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vana 2–2 Radovan Pisa Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pisa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 2.10 / Pisa 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pisa)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12354574
Vana2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 10 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Pisa1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 82 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it69% 57 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVana2wins
AwayPisa2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vana2Pisa2n = 4split evenly
S2Vana2Pisa2n = 4split evenly
S3Vana1Pisa3n = 4Pisa took 3 of 4
S4Vana2Pisa2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVanaPisaV − PBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match38.840.5−1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 153 vs 350 / 74155.6%47.2%85 / 153 vs 350 / 741Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaVana 2.10/Pisa 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Pisa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 3 · 07:15M. Vana4111127113R. Pisa358101161
WJul 27 · 08:20M. Vana507101111113R. Pisa4511128772
LJul 27 · 07:15M. Vana381111971R. Pisa3831311113
LJul 13 · 06:45M. Vana26413361R. Pisa44111111113
M. Vana10
WAug 3 · 07:15R. Pisa1.538101161M. Vana2.3811127113LAug 3 · 06:45M. Vana2.20651181M. Vyskocil1.6111116113LAug 3 · 05:45M. Vana1.916890M. Makara1.801111113LJul 29 · 20:43A. Radkovsky2.001111113M. Vana1.739460WJul 29 · 19:15D. Marasek2.507750M. Vana1.501111113WJul 29 · 18:45M. Vana1.8091111133A. Radkovsky1.911167111LJul 29 · 17:45M. Vana1.6771111962P. Oplt2.10116711113WJul 27 · 08:20R. Pisa1.5011128772M. Vana2.507101111113LJul 27 · 07:15M. Vana2.201111971R. Pisa1.6131311113LJul 27 · 06:15M. Vana2.007490M. Vyskocil1.731111113
R. Pisa10
LSep 15 · 09:04R. Pisa1.8376100L. Rulc1.831111123WSep 15 · 08:00R. Pisa1.73311811113J. Senk2.0011811752WSep 15 · 06:30M. Ullman1.837111361R. Pisa1.8311915113WSep 15 · 06:00L. Rulc1.9189120R. Pisa1.801111143LSep 14 · 16:43M. Makara1.911111117113R. Pisa1.8081361172WSep 14 · 15:45R. Pisa1.7313712113M. Makara2.0011111081WSep 14 · 14:15O. Mezera2.3891111852R. Pisa1.53118511113LAug 3 · 07:15R. Pisa1.538101161M. Vana2.3811127113LJul 27 · 08:20R. Pisa1.5011128772M. Vana2.507101111113WJul 27 · 07:15M. Vana2.201111971R. Pisa1.6131311113
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