TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13134259
Played Sep 15Finished
Radovan Pisa
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7116111012––––
Lukas Rulc
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRadovan Pisa above · Lukas Rulc below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 57 set 3, 10-12
57 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Pisa 40–29 Lukas Rulc Lukas Rulc has won 29 of their 69 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Pisa beat Rulc 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pisa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rulc form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisa 1.83 / Rulc 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pisa)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13134259
Pisa1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Rulc1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePisa5wins
AwayRulc5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePisa66.7%2 of 3
AwayRulc57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pisa3Rulc7n = 10Rulc took 7 of 10
S2Pisa4Rulc6n = 10Rulc took 6 of 10
S3Pisa6Rulc4n = 10Pisa took 6 of 10
S4Pisa5Rulc1n = 6Pisa took 5 of 6
S5Pisa2Rulc2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPisaRulcP − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.737.2−0.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisaRulcBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 790 vs 346 / 69949%49.5%387 / 790 vs 346 / 699Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaPisa 1.83/Rulc 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pisa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 06:00R. Pisa361111143L. Rulc2989120
LAug 11 · 08:18R. Pisa51810111392L. Rulc521112711113
WAug 11 · 06:45R. Pisa3731211113L. Rulc291110351
LJun 29 · 12:48R. Pisa175480L. Rulc331111113
LJun 29 · 10:45R. Pisa4161151182L. Rulc47117117113
WJun 25 · 09:30R. Pisa47491211113L. Rulc45111110582
WJun 17 · 06:15R. Pisa341112113L. Rulc2021080
LJun 13 · 19:45R. Pisa165560L. Rulc331111113
LJun 8 · 05:45R. Pisa35118791L. Rulc3521111113
WJun 1 · 12:43R. Pisa531071113123L. Rulc491211511102
R. Pisa10
WSep 15 · 08:00R. Pisa1.73311811113J. Senk2.0011811752WSep 15 · 06:30M. Ullman1.837111361R. Pisa1.8311915113WSep 15 · 06:00L. Rulc1.9189120R. Pisa1.801111143LSep 14 · 16:43M. Makara1.911111117113R. Pisa1.8081361172WSep 14 · 15:45R. Pisa1.7313712113M. Makara2.0011111081WSep 14 · 14:15O. Mezera2.3891111852R. Pisa1.53118511113WSep 14 · 13:45S. Rejent1.91121070R. Pisa1.801412113WSep 13 · 20:43R. Pisa2.25951111123J. Sr1.57111196102LSep 13 · 19:45J. Sr1.4012129113R. Pisa2.7510101131WSep 13 · 18:45M. Kocvara1.8310490R. Pisa1.831211113
L. Rulc10
LSep 15 · 07:30M. Ullman2.0015111011113L. Rulc1.7317812672WSep 15 · 07:00L. Rulc1.83111011113J. Senk1.83512651LSep 15 · 06:00L. Rulc1.9189120R. Pisa1.801111143WSep 14 · 08:23T. Liska2.107990L. Rulc1.671111113LSep 14 · 07:15L. Rulc1.7311510111T. Liska2.0071112133WSep 14 · 06:15L. Rulc2.2571111153L. Dobias1.571169131LSep 14 · 05:15L. Rulc1.4411117692M. Vyskocil2.63781111113LSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102WSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123
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