TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126313
Played Sep 14Finished
Lukas Rulc
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11751110121113––
Tomas Liska
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Rulc to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Rulc above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 80 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Lukas Rulc at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Rulc 68–55 Tomas Liska Tomas Liska has won 55 of their 123 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:14What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rulc
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
68-55 in 123
Rulc
Wrong
gap of 13 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rulc 1609 vs Liska 1702
Liska
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rulc 60% vs Liska 40%
Rulc
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rulc 40% vs Liska 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rulc +1 · Liska -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rulc)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRulc 1.73 / Liska 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rulc)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13126313
Rulc1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 92 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it86% 38 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it68% 63 of 93
Liska2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 80 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back19% 22 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRulc6wins
AwayLiska4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderRulc leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRulc83.3%5 of 6
AwayLiska75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rulc6Liska4n = 10Rulc took 6 of 10
S2Rulc4Liska6n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S3Rulc4Liska6n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S4Rulc3Liska6n = 9Liska took 6 of 9
S5Rulc5Liska1n = 6Rulc took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRulcLiskaR − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.741.7+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRulcLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 695 vs 400 / 86449.5%46.3%344 / 695 vs 400 / 864Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RulcRulc 1.73/Liska 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Liska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 07:15L. Rulc3711510111T. Liska4371112133
WSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc52121189123T. Liska461041111102
WAug 29 · 10:30L. Rulc51911119113T. Liska4311981142
LAug 17 · 08:45L. Rulc4581111692T. Liska49118811113
LAug 17 · 07:45L. Rulc311011821T. Liska4312911113
WAug 4 · 05:15L. Rulc51119911113T. Liska3831111672
WAug 2 · 19:45L. Rulc46114911113T. Liska3961111742
WJul 28 · 06:00L. Rulc44112119113T. Liska4571181182
LJul 5 · 08:18L. Rulc2798100T. Liska341111123
WJul 5 · 05:15L. Rulc43111011113T. Liska37912791
L. Rulc10
WSep 14 · 06:15L. Rulc2.2571111153L. Dobias1.571169131LSep 14 · 05:15L. Rulc1.4411117692M. Vyskocil2.63781111113LSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102WSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123LSep 1 · 09:45A. Radkovsky2.101111113L. Rulc1.677660LAug 31 · 12:48M. Kocvara2.631111113L. Rulc1.447870WAug 31 · 11:45L. Rulc1.6711711113M. Kocvara2.10811671LAug 31 · 10:15M. Stibor1.501161111123L. Rulc2.50131197102LAug 31 · 09:45M. Vyskocil2.75139114113L. Rulc1.40111181132
T. Liska10
LSep 14 · 06:45T. Liska2.009680M. Vyskocil1.731111113LSep 14 · 05:45T. Liska2.38871151L. Dobias1.5311119113WSep 13 · 11:45T. Liska2.251611113M. Makara1.5714890LSep 13 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.7311119113T. Liska2.00591121WSep 13 · 09:45O. Mezera3.0071181282T. Liska1.361171110113LSep 8 · 12:58L. Veigl1.911111113T. Liska1.807690LSep 8 · 12:00T. Liska2.101015771L. Veigl1.67121311113WSep 8 · 10:30R. Pisa1.6197111182T. Liska2.20111184113WSep 8 · 10:00M. Makara1.6761170T. Liska2.101113113LSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102
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