TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126579
Played Sep 14Finished
Lukas Rulc
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111161191513––
Ladislav Dobias
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeLadislav Dobias to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Rulc above · Ladislav Dobias below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 83 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Ladislav Dobias at 62.1%
83 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Rulc 8–10 Ladislav Dobias Lukas Rulc has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dobias
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Dobias
Wrong
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rulc 1618 vs Dobias 1728
Dobias
Wrong
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rulc 40% vs Dobias 60%
Dobias
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rulc 30% vs Dobias 50%
Dobias
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rulc -2 · Dobias +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Dobias)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRulc 2.25 / Dobias 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Dobias)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13126579
Rulc2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 50 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Dobias1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 199 of 345
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it80% 140 of 176
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRulc5wins
AwayDobias5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRulc75%3 of 4
AwayDobias66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rulc4Dobias6n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S2Rulc8Dobias2n = 10Rulc took 8 of 10
S3Rulc5Dobias5n = 10split evenly
S4Rulc4Dobias5n = 9Dobias took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRulcDobiasR − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.541.9+0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRulcDobiasBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 694 vs 416 / 74949.6%55.5%344 / 694 vs 416 / 749Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.741.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobiasRulc 2.25/Dobias 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Dobias · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 06:15L. Rulc4471111153L. Dobias391169131
LAug 25 · 05:45L. Rulc417111491L. Dobias47111312113
WAug 20 · 07:15L. Rulc4711178113L. Dobias438151191
WAug 7 · 06:00L. Rulc4671211163L. Dobias4211107141
LAug 4 · 07:15L. Rulc3810117101L. Dobias4112611123
WJun 25 · 12:33L. Rulc371112143L. Dobias30810120
LJun 25 · 11:30L. Rulc35811971L. Dobias3911611113
LJun 23 · 05:45L. Rulc54111681092L. Dobias546141112113
WJun 22 · 08:48L. Rulc45111211113L. Dobias37914861
LJun 22 · 05:45L. Rulc38916761L. Dobias47111411113
L. Rulc10
LSep 14 · 05:15L. Rulc1.4411117692M. Vyskocil2.63781111113LSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102WSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123LSep 1 · 09:45A. Radkovsky2.101111113L. Rulc1.677660LAug 31 · 12:48M. Kocvara2.631111113L. Rulc1.447870WAug 31 · 11:45L. Rulc1.6711711113M. Kocvara2.10811671LAug 31 · 10:15M. Stibor1.501161111123L. Rulc2.50131197102LAug 31 · 09:45M. Vyskocil2.75139114113L. Rulc1.40111181132LAug 29 · 13:05M. Makara1.801512113L. Rulc1.91131090
L. Dobias10
WSep 14 · 05:45T. Liska2.38871151L. Dobias1.5311119113WSep 11 · 08:13L. Dobias1.6111117133L. Svoboda2.207911111LSep 11 · 07:45L. Dobias1.737990L. Adam2.001111113WSep 11 · 06:15M. Stibor2.1064100L. Dobias1.671111123LSep 11 · 05:45L. Svoboda2.25115129113L. Dobias1.57511101142LSep 10 · 08:53M. Zelinka2.0012116113L. Dobias1.731091191WSep 10 · 07:45L. Dobias1.7311117113M. Zelinka2.00871191WSep 10 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8351170L. Dobias1.831113113LSep 10 · 05:45L. Heinzl2.25111011113L. Dobias1.57812981LSep 9 · 12:19L. Dobias1.5381410131L. Svoboda2.38111212153
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