TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12306622
Played Jul 27Finished
Martin Vana
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711411911––––
Marek Vyskocil
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Vana to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Vana above · Marek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Martin Vana at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vana 2–6 Marek Vyskocil Martin Vana has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:28What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vyskocil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Vyskocil
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vana 1622 vs Vyskocil 1640
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vana 40% vs Vyskocil 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vana 50% vs Vyskocil 30%
Vana
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vana +2 · Vyskocil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 2.00 / Vyskocil 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vyskocil)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12306622
Vana2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 10 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Vyskocil1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 81 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it76% 64 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeVana2wins
AwayVyskocil6wins
4 of 8 to a deciderVyskocil leads 6–2, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVanan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVyskocil83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vana2Vyskocil6n = 8Vyskocil took 6 of 8
S2Vana4Vyskocil4n = 8split evenly
S3Vana4Vyskocil4n = 8split evenly
S4Vana2Vyskocil4n = 6Vyskocil took 4 of 6
S5Vana1Vyskocil3n = 4Vyskocil took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricVanaVyskocilVana − VyskocilBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match38.843.0−4.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 150 vs 222 / 40555.3%54.8%83 / 150 vs 222 / 405Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVana 2.00/Vyskocil 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 27 · 06:15M. Vana207490M. Vyskocil331111113
LJul 13 · 05:15M. Vana48111214652M. Vyskocil5713101211113
LMay 25 · 14:15M. Vana1931060M. Vyskocil341112113
WMay 5 · 05:30M. Vana4181111113M. Vyskocil35119961
LFeb 18 · 22:15M. Vana45101111492M. Vyskocil47126711113
WFeb 18 · 21:00M. Vana551312109113M. Vyskocil521110121182
LJan 23 · 13:55M. Vana34951191M. Vyskocil3711115103
LJan 23 · 12:45M. Vana48116911112M. Vyskocil49711117133
M. Vana10
LAug 3 · 08:13M. Vana2.1010880R. Pisa1.671211113WAug 3 · 07:15R. Pisa1.538101161M. Vana2.3811127113LAug 3 · 06:45M. Vana2.20651181M. Vyskocil1.6111116113LAug 3 · 05:45M. Vana1.916890M. Makara1.801111113LJul 29 · 20:43A. Radkovsky2.001111113M. Vana1.739460WJul 29 · 19:15D. Marasek2.507750M. Vana1.501111113WJul 29 · 18:45M. Vana1.8091111133A. Radkovsky1.911167111LJul 29 · 17:45M. Vana1.6771111962P. Oplt2.10116711113WJul 27 · 08:20R. Pisa1.5011128772M. Vana2.507101111113LJul 27 · 07:15M. Vana2.201111971R. Pisa1.6131311113
M. Vyskocil10
WSep 15 · 12:13J. Dolezal1.836540M. Vyskocil1.831111113LSep 15 · 11:15M. Vyskocil1.831181011122J. Dolezal1.83711127143WSep 15 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.5771111113T. Liska2.25115861WSep 15 · 09:15M. Vyskocil1.911112113M. Kocvara1.8081090LSep 14 · 08:53M. Vyskocil2.205790L. Dobias1.611111113LSep 14 · 07:45L. Dobias1.7310111011113M. Vyskocil2.0012812572WSep 14 · 06:45T. Liska2.009680M. Vyskocil1.731111113WSep 14 · 05:15L. Rulc1.4411117692M. Vyskocil2.63781111113WSep 13 · 20:14M. Kocvara1.73511911102M. Vyskocil2.00114115123WAug 3 · 06:45M. Vana2.20651181M. Vyskocil1.6111116113
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