TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131077
Played Sep 15Finished
Marek Vyskocil
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210119––––
Martin Kocvara
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Kocvara to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Vyskocil above · Martin Kocvara below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 61 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Martin Kocvara at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Marek Vyskocil 3–4 Martin Kocvara Marek Vyskocil has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:38What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kocvara
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1705 vs Kocvara 1671
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 60% vs Kocvara 40%
Vyskocil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 50% vs Kocvara 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil -2 · Kocvara -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kocvara)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocvara form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.91 / Kocvara 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kocvara)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13131077
Vyskocil1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog53% won 31 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back37% 11 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back25% 3 of 12
Kocvara1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 26 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVyskocil3wins
AwayKocvara4wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKocvara leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil60%3 of 5
AwayKocvaran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil5Kocvara2n = 7Vyskocil took 5 of 7
S2Vyskocil2Kocvara5n = 7Kocvara took 5 of 7
S3Vyskocil4Kocvara3n = 7Vyskocil took 4 of 7
S4Vyskocil1Kocvara5n = 6Kocvara took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricVyskocilKocvaraV − KBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match37.336.6+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilKocvaraBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 416 vs 82 / 14454.1%56.9%225 / 416 vs 82 / 144Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocvaraVyskocil 1.91/Kocvara 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kocvara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 13 · 20:14M. Vyskocil43114115123M. Kocvara46511911102
LSep 13 · 19:15M. Vyskocil3811101161M. Kocvara3711213113
LAug 31 · 10:45M. Vyskocil301110541M. Kocvara3841211113
LJul 14 · 09:15M. Vyskocil4381111131M. Kocvara4411135153
WJul 12 · 20:25M. Vyskocil351113113M. Kocvara2881190
LJul 12 · 17:45M. Vyskocil34611981M. Kocvara3911611113
WJun 26 · 14:45M. Vyskocil3811511113M. Kocvara24811501
M. Vyskocil10
WSep 15 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.5771111113T. Liska2.25115861LSep 14 · 08:53M. Vyskocil2.205790L. Dobias1.611111113LSep 14 · 07:45L. Dobias1.7310111011113M. Vyskocil2.0012812572WSep 14 · 06:45T. Liska2.009680M. Vyskocil1.731111113WSep 14 · 05:15L. Rulc1.4411117692M. Vyskocil2.63781111113WSep 13 · 20:14M. Kocvara1.73511911102M. Vyskocil2.00114115123LSep 13 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.8311101161M. Kocvara1.8311213113WSep 13 · 18:15M. Vyskocil2.5014612163J. Sr1.50121110141LSep 13 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.731111115112R. Pisa2.00913211133LSep 13 · 11:15M. Vyskocil1.6151111772O. Mezera2.20117711103
M. Kocvara10
LSep 13 · 20:14M. Kocvara1.73511911102M. Vyskocil2.00114115123WSep 13 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.8311101161M. Kocvara1.8311213113LSep 13 · 18:45M. Kocvara1.8310490R. Pisa1.831211113LSep 13 · 17:45M. Kocvara2.634530J. Sr1.441111113WSep 10 · 09:03R. Pisa1.8311713101M. Kocvara1.8341115123WSep 10 · 07:30M. Kocvara1.611111113J. Senk2.209260WSep 10 · 06:30M. Kocvara1.80111110113L. Veigl1.91881291LSep 10 · 05:30M. Kocvara1.8311891192R. Pisa1.83811119113WSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481
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