TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131200
Played Sep 15Finished
Marek Vyskocil
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11781110121171214
Josef Dolezal
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Vyskocil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Vyskocil above · Josef Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 103 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Marek Vyskocil at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Marek Vyskocil 4–4 Josef Dolezal Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1728 vs Dolezal 1610
Vyskocil
Wrong
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 60% vs Dolezal 40%
Vyskocil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 60% vs Dolezal 40%
Vyskocil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil +2 · Dolezal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vyskocil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.83 / Dolezal 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vyskocil)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131200
Vyskocil1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Dolezal1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeVyskocil4wins
AwayDolezal4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil100%3 of 3
AwayDolezal80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil3Dolezal5n = 8Dolezal took 5 of 8
S2Vyskocil6Dolezal2n = 8Vyskocil took 6 of 8
S3Vyskocil4Dolezal4n = 8split evenly
S4Vyskocil3Dolezal4n = 7Dolezal took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricVyskocilDolezalV − DBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match40.539.5+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 418 vs 58 / 12854.3%45.3%227 / 418 vs 58 / 128Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.83/Dolezal 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 2 · 12:44M. Vyskocil4384111282J. Dolezal521111910113
WSep 2 · 09:45M. Vyskocil3811115113J. Dolezal34781181
LAug 14 · 20:50M. Vyskocil429914101J. Dolezal46111112123
WAug 14 · 18:45M. Vyskocil45111157113J. Dolezal4176111162
LAug 14 · 12:14M. Vyskocil378118101J. Dolezal3911511123
WAug 14 · 09:45M. Vyskocil331111113J. Dolezal247980
WJul 8 · 12:58M. Vyskocil49141113113J. Dolezal391671151
LJul 8 · 11:00M. Vyskocil379117101J. Dolezal4111711123
M. Vyskocil10
WSep 15 · 12:13J. Dolezal1.836540M. Vyskocil1.831111113WSep 15 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.5771111113T. Liska2.25115861WSep 15 · 09:15M. Vyskocil1.911112113M. Kocvara1.8081090LSep 14 · 08:53M. Vyskocil2.205790L. Dobias1.611111113LSep 14 · 07:45L. Dobias1.7310111011113M. Vyskocil2.0012812572WSep 14 · 06:45T. Liska2.009680M. Vyskocil1.731111113WSep 14 · 05:15L. Rulc1.4411117692M. Vyskocil2.63781111113WSep 13 · 20:14M. Kocvara1.73511911102M. Vyskocil2.00114115123LSep 13 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.8311101161M. Kocvara1.8311213113WSep 13 · 18:15M. Vyskocil2.5014612163J. Sr1.50121110141
J. Dolezal10
LSep 15 · 12:13J. Dolezal1.836540M. Vyskocil1.831111113LSep 15 · 10:45J. Dolezal2.10771181M. Kocvara1.6711118113WSep 15 · 09:45J. Dolezal2.001111113T. Liska1.737890WSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732LSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 18:45S. Rejent1.67111114123J. Dolezal2.1013212101LSep 2 · 17:15M. Ullman1.73711511113J. Dolezal2.0011611682WSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282WSep 2 · 11:45J. Dolezal1.5311511133A. Radkovsky2.388116111LSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972
Upcoming Matches
M. Vyskocil
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J. Dolezal
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