TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12306235
Played Jul 28Finished
Miroslav Novotny
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611711––––
Karel Bartak
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Novotny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiroslav Novotny above · Karel Bartak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Miroslav Novotny at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Novotny 9–7 Karel Bartak Karel Bartak has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:56What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Novotny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Novotny
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Novotny 1386 vs Bartak 1351
Novotny
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novotny 60% vs Bartak 40%
Novotny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novotny 70% vs Bartak 30%
Novotny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novotny +3 · Bartak -1
Novotny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Novotny)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.83 / Bartak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Novotny)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12306235
Novotny1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Bartak1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNovotny6wins
AwayBartak4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNovotny leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovotny66.7%2 of 3
AwayBartak42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novotny3Bartak7n = 10Bartak took 7 of 10
S2Novotny4Bartak6n = 10Bartak took 6 of 10
S3Novotny8Bartak2n = 10Novotny took 8 of 10
S4Novotny3Bartak4n = 7Bartak took 4 of 7
S5Novotny3Bartak1n = 4Novotny took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNovotnyBartakN − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.534.6+3.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyBartakBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 323 vs 105 / 20047.7%52.5%154 / 323 vs 105 / 200Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyNovotny 1.83/Bartak 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bartak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJan 5 · 23:30M. Novotny—811117113K. Bartak—11331152
LNov 9 · 24:30M. Novotny—11511252K. Bartak—911511113
WOct 25 · 22:00M. Novotny—11811113K. Bartak—311741
WOct 12 · 03:06M. Novotny—1012118113K. Bartak—121021172
WOct 12 · 01:30M. Novotny—991111113K. Bartak—11117542
LSep 12 · 21:30M. Novotny—7850K. Bartak—1111113
WSep 12 · 19:30M. Novotny—101111113K. Bartak—129641
LSep 12 · 15:00M. Novotny—91160K. Bartak—1113113
WSep 6 · 03:00M. Novotny—1111113K. Bartak—9730
LSep 5 · 23:00M. Novotny—1091171K. Bartak—12119113
M. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101WSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821WSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580LAug 28 · 21:00D. Priesol1.2531111113M. Novotny3.75117861LAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552LAug 28 · 19:30M. Novotny1.4412511101M. Barta2.63101113123LAug 28 · 18:30D. Priesol1.401111113M. Novotny2.756650WAug 28 · 17:30M. Novotny2.50111011113J. Framberk1.50412451
K. Bartak10
WAug 16 · 02:00M. Novotny2.10118991K. Bartak1.6751111113LAug 16 · 24:30K. Bartak2.252990M. Necas1.571111113LAug 15 · 23:00K. Bartak1.7313612372V. Dolezal2.001111101193LAug 15 · 22:00R. Urban1.501111113K. Bartak2.503860LJul 28 · 03:28J. Didi1.6711911113K. Bartak2.10711831WJul 28 · 01:30K. Bartak1.571111113V. Kosar2.256750LJul 27 · 23:30J. Didi2.001111113K. Bartak1.739650WJul 27 · 22:30K. Bartak1.731111113P. Stuchlik2.002950LJul 27 · 17:00M. Syroha1.401111711143K. Bartak2.75134118122LJul 27 · 16:00M. Barta2.101111113K. Bartak1.678590
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