TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12304730
Played Jul 27Finished
Karel Bartak
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112119115––––
Pavel Stuchlik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Stuchlik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKarel Bartak above · Pavel Stuchlik below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Pavel Stuchlik at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:26What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bartak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Bartak 1351 vs Stuchlik 1344
Bartak
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartak 40% vs Stuchlik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartak 40% vs Stuchlik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartak -2 · Stuchlik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bartak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartak 1.73 / Stuchlik 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bartak)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12304730
Bartak1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 10 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it75% 9 of 12
Stuchlik2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 24 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartakStuchlikBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 198 vs 44 / 8852.5%50%104 / 198 vs 44 / 88Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartakBartak 1.73/Stuchlik 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bartak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bartak won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Bartak10
WAug 16 · 02:00M. Novotny2.10118991K. Bartak1.6751111113LAug 16 · 24:30K. Bartak2.252990M. Necas1.571111113LAug 15 · 23:00K. Bartak1.7313612372V. Dolezal2.001111101193LAug 15 · 22:00R. Urban1.501111113K. Bartak2.503860LJul 28 · 03:28J. Didi1.6711911113K. Bartak2.10711831WJul 28 · 01:30K. Bartak1.571111113V. Kosar2.256750WJul 28 · 24:30M. Novotny1.675670K. Bartak2.101111113LJul 27 · 23:30J. Didi2.001111113K. Bartak1.739650LJul 27 · 17:00M. Syroha1.401111711143K. Bartak2.75134118122LJul 27 · 16:00M. Barta2.101111113K. Bartak1.678590
P. Stuchlik10
WJul 28 · 02:00P. Stuchlik2.5011119113M. Novotny1.50861191LJul 28 · 01:00P. Stuchlik2.3896120J. Didi1.531111143LJul 28 · 24:00V. Kosar1.331111123P. Stuchlik3.2536100LJul 25 · 03:03P. Stuchlik1.8528111192M. Novotny1.85111146113LJul 25 · 02:30J. Didi1.36118911113P. Stuchlik3.0071111892WJul 25 · 01:00M. Novotny1.617890P. Stuchlik2.201111113WJul 24 · 23:30P. Stuchlik2.10111182113M. Ulrych1.6794111162LJul 24 · 22:00P. Stuchlik1.83128561P. Kulhanek1.83101111113WJul 7 · 03:00P. Stuchlik1.851111113V. Sr1.852970LJul 7 · 02:00P. Stuchlik2.505930J. Didi1.501111113
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