TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12306217
Played Jul 28Finished
Vaclav Kosar
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131161210––––
Pavel Stuchlik
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:56 and never touched — 75.8% is still 75.8%
Graded at full timeVaclav Kosar to win
75.8%
75.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · Pavel Stuchlik below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 53 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Vaclav Kosar at 75.8%
53 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Kosar 2–2 Pavel Stuchlik Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kosar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosar 1435 vs Stuchlik 1330
Kosar
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosar 60% vs Stuchlik 40%
Kosar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosar 60% vs Stuchlik 40%
Kosar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosar -1 · Stuchlik -3
Stuchlik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Kosar) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosar form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosar 1.33 / Stuchlik 3.25
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Kosar)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12306217
Kosar1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 58 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it85% 49 of 58
Stuchlik3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 24 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKosar2wins
AwayStuchlik2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosar66.7%2 of 3
AwayStuchlikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosar3Stuchlik1n = 4Kosar took 3 of 4
S2Kosar3Stuchlik1n = 4Kosar took 3 of 4
S3Kosar2Stuchlik2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKosarStuchlikK − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match37.035.2+1.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosarStuchlikBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 424 vs 44 / 8950.9%49.4%216 / 424 vs 44 / 89Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosarKosar 1.33/Stuchlik 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.9%
Kosar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJun 24 · 11:30V. Kosar—1113123P. Stuchlik—611100
WApr 19 · 02:30V. Kosar—1211113P. Stuchlik—10560
LJan 26 · 22:06V. Kosar—11851162P. Stuchlik—811118113
LJan 26 · 19:30V. Kosar—5116151P. Stuchlik—11511173
V. Kosar10
WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113WSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651LSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142WAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113WAug 29 · 23:30V. Kosar2.251411113L. Sulava1.5712960WAug 29 · 22:00V. Kosar1.53129115113J. Pleskot2.38101171192
P. Stuchlik10
WJul 28 · 02:00P. Stuchlik2.5011119113M. Novotny1.50861191LJul 28 · 01:00P. Stuchlik2.3896120J. Didi1.531111143LJul 27 · 22:30K. Bartak1.731111113P. Stuchlik2.002950LJul 25 · 03:03P. Stuchlik1.8528111192M. Novotny1.85111146113LJul 25 · 02:30J. Didi1.36118911113P. Stuchlik3.0071111892WJul 25 · 01:00M. Novotny1.617890P. Stuchlik2.201111113WJul 24 · 23:30P. Stuchlik2.10111182113M. Ulrych1.6794111162LJul 24 · 22:00P. Stuchlik1.83128561P. Kulhanek1.83101111113WJul 7 · 03:00P. Stuchlik1.851111113V. Sr1.852970LJul 7 · 02:00P. Stuchlik2.505930J. Didi1.501111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.