TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12287389
Played Jul 24Finished
Pavel Stuchlik
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119114811211116
Martin Ulrych
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:40 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timePavel Stuchlik to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Stuchlik above · Martin Ulrych below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 84 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Pavel Stuchlik at 54.7%
84 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:40What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Ulrych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stuchlik 1316 vs Ulrych 1379
Ulrych
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stuchlik 40% vs Ulrych 80%
Ulrych
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stuchlik 50% vs Ulrych 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stuchlik -1 · Ulrych -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Ulrych) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ulrych form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStuchlik 2.10 / Ulrych 1.65
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Ulrych)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12287389
Stuchlik2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 22 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back26% 7 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Ulrych1.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 47 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it82% 36 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStuchlikUlrychBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 84 vs 82 / 13650%60.3%42 / 84 vs 82 / 136Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UlrychStuchlik 2.10/Ulrych 1.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63%
Ulrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stuchlik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Stuchlik10
WJul 28 · 02:00P. Stuchlik2.5011119113M. Novotny1.50861191LJul 28 · 01:00P. Stuchlik2.3896120J. Didi1.531111143LJul 28 · 24:00V. Kosar1.331111123P. Stuchlik3.2536100LJul 27 · 22:30K. Bartak1.731111113P. Stuchlik2.002950LJul 25 · 03:03P. Stuchlik1.8528111192M. Novotny1.85111146113LJul 25 · 02:30J. Didi1.36118911113P. Stuchlik3.0071111892WJul 25 · 01:00M. Novotny1.617890P. Stuchlik2.201111113LJul 24 · 22:00P. Stuchlik1.83128561P. Kulhanek1.83101111113WJul 7 · 03:00P. Stuchlik1.851111113V. Sr1.852970LJul 7 · 02:00P. Stuchlik2.505930J. Didi1.501111113
M. Ulrych10
WSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651WSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113WSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580WAug 31 · 13:30M. Ulrych2.63911911113Z. Zikmunda1.4411811772WAug 31 · 12:00M. Ulrych2.201111113A. Svoboda1.617380LAug 31 · 11:30Z. Zikmunda1.5711611113M. Ulrych2.25611691WAug 31 · 10:00M. Ulrych1.671111143P. Kulhanek2.1068120WAug 31 · 09:00Z. Zikmunda1.5010111071M. Ulrych2.5012712113
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