TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12294319
Played Jul 25Finished
Julius Didi
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117811911118119
Pavel Stuchlik
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:35 and never touched — 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Pavel Stuchlik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Julius Didi at 70.8%
96 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 3–1 Pavel Stuchlik Pavel Stuchlik has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:35What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Didi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Didi
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1323 vs Stuchlik 1354
Stuchlik
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 40% vs Stuchlik 60%
Stuchlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 30% vs Stuchlik 60%
Stuchlik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi -3 · Stuchlik +2
Didi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Didi) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stuchlik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 1.36 / Stuchlik 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Didi)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12294319
Didi1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 103 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it90% 55 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 92
Stuchlik3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 22 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back26% 7 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDidi3wins
AwayStuchlik1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderDidi leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi100%3 of 3
AwayStuchlikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi3Stuchlik1n = 4Didi took 3 of 4
S2Didi2Stuchlik2n = 4split evenly
S3Didi1Stuchlik3n = 4Stuchlik took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricDidiStuchlikD − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match34.832.5+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiStuchlikBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 629 vs 44 / 8750.7%50.6%319 / 629 vs 44 / 87Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidiDidi 1.36/Stuchlik 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Didi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 25 · 02:30J. Didi—118911113P. Stuchlik—71111892
WJul 7 · 02:00J. Didi—1111113P. Stuchlik—5930
LMay 8 · 08:59J. Didi—9830P. Stuchlik—1111113
WMay 8 · 06:30J. Didi—11113113P. Stuchlik—881171
J. Didi10
LSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110
P. Stuchlik10
WJul 28 · 02:00P. Stuchlik2.5011119113M. Novotny1.50861191LJul 28 · 01:00P. Stuchlik2.3896120J. Didi1.531111143LJul 28 · 24:00V. Kosar1.331111123P. Stuchlik3.2536100LJul 27 · 22:30K. Bartak1.731111113P. Stuchlik2.002950LJul 25 · 03:03P. Stuchlik1.8528111192M. Novotny1.85111146113WJul 25 · 01:00M. Novotny1.617890P. Stuchlik2.201111113WJul 24 · 23:30P. Stuchlik2.10111182113M. Ulrych1.6794111162LJul 24 · 22:00P. Stuchlik1.83128561P. Kulhanek1.83101111113WJul 7 · 03:00P. Stuchlik1.851111113V. Sr1.852970LJul 7 · 02:00P. Stuchlik2.505930J. Didi1.501111113
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