TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12289910
Played Jul 24Finished
Pavel Stuchlik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210811511611––
Pavel Kulhanek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Kulhanek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Stuchlik above · Pavel Kulhanek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Pavel Kulhanek at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Stuchlik 1–3 Pavel Kulhanek Pavel Stuchlik has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:41What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kulhanek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kulhanek
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stuchlik 1328 vs Kulhanek 1300
Stuchlik
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stuchlik 60% vs Kulhanek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stuchlik 50% vs Kulhanek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stuchlik +1 · Kulhanek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulhanek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStuchlik 1.83 / Kulhanek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kulhanek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12289910
Stuchlik1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kulhanek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStuchlik1wins
AwayKulhanek3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKulhanek leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStuchlik33.3%1 of 3
AwayKulhanekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stuchlik3Kulhanek1n = 4Stuchlik took 3 of 4
S2Stuchlik1Kulhanek3n = 4Kulhanek took 3 of 4
S3Stuchlik1Kulhanek3n = 4Kulhanek took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricStuchlikKulhanekS − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match34.834.80.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStuchlikKulhanekBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 83 vs 227 / 41350.6%55%42 / 83 vs 227 / 413Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulhanekStuchlik 1.83/Kulhanek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kulhanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulhanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 3 · 06:30P. Stuchlik—1111113P. Kulhanek—7610
LMay 15 · 10:30P. Stuchlik—9780P. Kulhanek—1111113
LApr 17 · 13:30P. Stuchlik—111051192P. Kulhanek—612117113
LApr 17 · 12:30P. Stuchlik—1267111P. Kulhanek—101111133
P. Stuchlik10
WJul 28 · 02:00P. Stuchlik2.5011119113M. Novotny1.50861191LJul 28 · 01:00P. Stuchlik2.3896120J. Didi1.531111143LJul 28 · 24:00V. Kosar1.331111123P. Stuchlik3.2536100LJul 27 · 22:30K. Bartak1.731111113P. Stuchlik2.002950LJul 25 · 03:03P. Stuchlik1.8528111192M. Novotny1.85111146113LJul 25 · 02:30J. Didi1.36118911113P. Stuchlik3.0071111892WJul 25 · 01:00M. Novotny1.617890P. Stuchlik2.201111113WJul 24 · 23:30P. Stuchlik2.10111182113M. Ulrych1.6794111162WJul 7 · 03:00P. Stuchlik1.851111113V. Sr1.852970LJul 7 · 02:00P. Stuchlik2.505930J. Didi1.501111113
P. Kulhanek10
LSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113LSep 7 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.6111611113P. Kulhanek2.20611381WSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113WSep 7 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.4411138113J. Svec2.637111161LSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282LSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960WSep 4 · 10:00P. Kulhanek1.80811711113J. Strnad1.9111711562LSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171
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