TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12289901
Played Jul 25Finished
Miroslav Novotny
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811911––––
Pavel Stuchlik
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Stuchlik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Novotny above · Pavel Stuchlik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Pavel Stuchlik at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:41What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Novotny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Novotny 1389 vs Stuchlik 1340
Novotny
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novotny 80% vs Stuchlik 40%
Novotny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novotny 60% vs Stuchlik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Novotny +3 · Stuchlik +1
Novotny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Novotny) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.73 / Stuchlik 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Novotny)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12289901
Novotny1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 19 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Stuchlik2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 22 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back26% 7 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyStuchlikBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 327 vs 43 / 8547.4%50.6%155 / 327 vs 43 / 85Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyNovotny 1.73/Stuchlik 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.7%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stuchlik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101WSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821WSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580LAug 28 · 21:00D. Priesol1.2531111113M. Novotny3.75117861LAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552LAug 28 · 19:30M. Novotny1.4412511101M. Barta2.63101113123LAug 28 · 18:30D. Priesol1.401111113M. Novotny2.756650WAug 28 · 17:30M. Novotny2.50111011113J. Framberk1.50412451
P. Stuchlik10
WJul 28 · 02:00P. Stuchlik2.5011119113M. Novotny1.50861191LJul 28 · 01:00P. Stuchlik2.3896120J. Didi1.531111143LJul 28 · 24:00V. Kosar1.331111123P. Stuchlik3.2536100LJul 27 · 22:30K. Bartak1.731111113P. Stuchlik2.002950LJul 25 · 03:03P. Stuchlik1.8528111192M. Novotny1.85111146113LJul 25 · 02:30J. Didi1.36118911113P. Stuchlik3.0071111892WJul 24 · 23:30P. Stuchlik2.10111182113M. Ulrych1.6794111162LJul 24 · 22:00P. Stuchlik1.83128561P. Kulhanek1.83101111113WJul 7 · 03:00P. Stuchlik1.851111113V. Sr1.852970LJul 7 · 02:00P. Stuchlik2.505930J. Didi1.501111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.