TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12306433
Played Jul 28Finished
Pavel Stuchlik
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118116911119––
Miroslav Novotny
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Novotny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Stuchlik above · Miroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Miroslav Novotny at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Stuchlik 1–1 Miroslav Novotny Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Novotny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stuchlik 1309 vs Novotny 1360
Novotny
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stuchlik 0% vs Novotny 60%
Novotny
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stuchlik 30% vs Novotny 60%
Novotny
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stuchlik -5 · Novotny -1
Stuchlik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Novotny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stuchlik form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStuchlik 1.83 / Novotny 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Novotny)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12306433
Stuchlik1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Novotny1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStuchlik1wins
AwayNovotny1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStuchlikNovotnyS − NBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.033.5+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStuchlikNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 91 vs 154 / 32448.4%47.5%44 / 91 vs 154 / 324Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyStuchlik 1.83/Novotny 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stuchlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 25 · 03:03P. Stuchlik—28111192M. Novotny—111146113
WJul 25 · 01:00P. Stuchlik—1111113M. Novotny—7890
P. Stuchlik10
LJul 28 · 01:00P. Stuchlik2.3896120J. Didi1.531111143LJul 28 · 24:00V. Kosar1.331111123P. Stuchlik3.2536100LJul 27 · 22:30K. Bartak1.731111113P. Stuchlik2.002950LJul 25 · 03:03P. Stuchlik1.8528111192M. Novotny1.85111146113LJul 25 · 02:30J. Didi1.36118911113P. Stuchlik3.0071111892WJul 25 · 01:00M. Novotny1.617890P. Stuchlik2.201111113WJul 24 · 23:30P. Stuchlik2.10111182113M. Ulrych1.6794111162LJul 24 · 22:00P. Stuchlik1.83128561P. Kulhanek1.83101111113WJul 7 · 03:00P. Stuchlik1.851111113V. Sr1.852970LJul 7 · 02:00P. Stuchlik2.505930J. Didi1.501111113
M. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101WSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821WSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580LAug 28 · 21:00D. Priesol1.2531111113M. Novotny3.75117861LAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552LAug 28 · 19:30M. Novotny1.4412511101M. Barta2.63101113123WJul 25 · 03:03P. Stuchlik1.8528111192M. Novotny1.85111146113LJul 25 · 01:00M. Novotny1.617890P. Stuchlik2.201111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.