TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12306226
Played Jul 28Finished
Karel Bartak
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117115––––
Vaclav Kosar
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:56 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeKarel Bartak to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Bartak above · Vaclav Kosar below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Karel Bartak at 64.5%
51 points played in total.
H2H Karel Bartak 1–0 Vaclav Kosar Vaclav Kosar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:56What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Bartak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bartak 1377 vs Kosar 1445
Kosar
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartak 40% vs Kosar 60%
Kosar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartak 40% vs Kosar 60%
Kosar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartak +1 · Kosar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Bartak) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartak 1.50 / Kosar 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Bartak)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12306226
Bartak1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 10 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it75% 9 of 12
Kosar2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 52 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back32% 20 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBartak1wins
AwayKosar0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBartak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBartakKosarB − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match48.041.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartakKosarBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 201 vs 217 / 42552.7%51.1%106 / 201 vs 217 / 425Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartakBartak 1.50/Kosar 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Bartak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bartak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 28 · 22:00K. Bartak—811117113V. Kosar—11641192
K. Bartak10
WAug 16 · 02:00M. Novotny2.10118991K. Bartak1.6751111113LAug 16 · 24:30K. Bartak2.252990M. Necas1.571111113LAug 15 · 23:00K. Bartak1.7313612372V. Dolezal2.001111101193LAug 15 · 22:00R. Urban1.501111113K. Bartak2.503860LJul 28 · 03:28J. Didi1.6711911113K. Bartak2.10711831WJul 28 · 24:30M. Novotny1.675670K. Bartak2.101111113LJul 27 · 23:30J. Didi2.001111113K. Bartak1.739650WJul 27 · 22:30K. Bartak1.731111113P. Stuchlik2.002950LJul 27 · 17:00M. Syroha1.401111711143K. Bartak2.75134118122LJul 27 · 16:00M. Barta2.101111113K. Bartak1.678590
V. Kosar10
WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113WSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651LSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142WAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113WAug 29 · 23:30V. Kosar2.251411113L. Sulava1.5712960WAug 29 · 22:00V. Kosar1.53129115113J. Pleskot2.38101171192
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