TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434722
Played Aug 15Finished
Roman Urban
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113118116––––
Karel Bartak
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:11 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeRoman Urban to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Urban above · Karel Bartak below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 50 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Roman Urban at 55.8%
50 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Urban 1453 vs Bartak 1369
Urban
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 20% vs Bartak 60%
Bartak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 40% vs Bartak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban -4 · Bartak -1
Urban
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 1.50 / Bartak 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Urban)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434722
Urban1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite76% won 35 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Bartak2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 4 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanBartakBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 121 vs 95 / 17452.1%54.6%63 / 121 vs 95 / 174Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanUrban 1.50/Bartak 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Urban won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Urban10
LSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240LSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711WSep 5 · 24:30R. Urban1.80111112113M. Stefek1.91951471WSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172LSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352WAug 29 · 02:59P. Bruzek2.5011118822R. Urban1.50751111113LAug 29 · 02:00R. Urban1.7311101371J. Didi2.0081215113WAug 29 · 01:00R. Urban1.731111113T. Andrle2.002260LAug 29 · 24:00M. Stefek2.381111113R. Urban1.534890WAug 28 · 22:30P. Bruzek1.91118561R. Urban1.8071111113
K. Bartak10
WAug 16 · 02:00M. Novotny2.10118991K. Bartak1.6751111113LAug 16 · 24:30K. Bartak2.252990M. Necas1.571111113LAug 15 · 23:00K. Bartak1.7313612372V. Dolezal2.001111101193LJul 28 · 03:28J. Didi1.6711911113K. Bartak2.10711831WJul 28 · 01:30K. Bartak1.571111113V. Kosar2.256750WJul 28 · 24:30M. Novotny1.675670K. Bartak2.101111113LJul 27 · 23:30J. Didi2.001111113K. Bartak1.739650WJul 27 · 22:30K. Bartak1.731111113P. Stuchlik2.002950LJul 27 · 17:00M. Syroha1.401111711143K. Bartak2.75134118122LJul 27 · 16:00M. Barta2.101111113K. Bartak1.678590
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