TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12310969
Played Jul 27Finished
Michal Syroha
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131147111181412
Karel Bartak
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:57 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Karel Bartak below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 102 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Michal Syroha at 66.3%
102 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 3–0 Karel Bartak Karel Bartak has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:57What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Syroha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Syroha
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1235 vs Bartak 1365
Bartak
Wrong
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 60% vs Bartak 40%
Syroha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 30% vs Bartak 50%
Bartak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha -2 · Bartak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Syroha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 1.40 / Bartak 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Syroha)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12310969
Syroha1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 64 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it78% 42 of 54
Bartak2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSyroha3wins
AwayBartak0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSyroha leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha2Bartak1n = 3Syroha took 2 of 3
S2Syroha3Bartak0n = 3Syroha took 3 of 3
S3Syroha2Bartak1n = 3Syroha took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSyrohaBartakS − BBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.728.7+10.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaBartakBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 657 vs 104 / 19749.5%52.8%325 / 657 vs 104 / 197Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaSyroha 1.40/Bartak 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 27 · 14:30M. Syroha—1111113K. Bartak—6990
WJan 26 · 16:30M. Syroha—1311113K. Bartak—11420
WJul 20 · 06:00M. Syroha—811711113K. Bartak—11911772
M. Syroha10
LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113
K. Bartak10
WAug 16 · 02:00M. Novotny2.10118991K. Bartak1.6751111113LAug 16 · 24:30K. Bartak2.252990M. Necas1.571111113LAug 15 · 23:00K. Bartak1.7313612372V. Dolezal2.001111101193LAug 15 · 22:00R. Urban1.501111113K. Bartak2.503860LJul 28 · 03:28J. Didi1.6711911113K. Bartak2.10711831WJul 28 · 01:30K. Bartak1.571111113V. Kosar2.256750WJul 28 · 24:30M. Novotny1.675670K. Bartak2.101111113LJul 27 · 23:30J. Didi2.001111113K. Bartak1.739650WJul 27 · 22:30K. Bartak1.731111113P. Stuchlik2.002950LJul 27 · 16:00M. Barta2.101111113K. Bartak1.678590
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