TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12306396
Played Jul 27Finished
Julius Didi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116115––––
Karel Bartak
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Karel Bartak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Julius Didi at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:46What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bartak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Didi 1368 vs Bartak 1364
Didi
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 40% vs Bartak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 60% vs Bartak 40%
Didi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi -2 · Bartak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bartak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 2.00 / Bartak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bartak)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12306396
Didi2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 89 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 77
Bartak1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 10 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it75% 9 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiBartakBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 638 vs 105 / 19950.8%52.8%324 / 638 vs 105 / 199Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartakDidi 2.00/Bartak 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bartak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Didi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Didi10
LSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110
K. Bartak10
WAug 16 · 02:00M. Novotny2.10118991K. Bartak1.6751111113LAug 16 · 24:30K. Bartak2.252990M. Necas1.571111113LAug 15 · 23:00K. Bartak1.7313612372V. Dolezal2.001111101193LAug 15 · 22:00R. Urban1.501111113K. Bartak2.503860LJul 28 · 03:28J. Didi1.6711911113K. Bartak2.10711831WJul 28 · 01:30K. Bartak1.571111113V. Kosar2.256750WJul 28 · 24:30M. Novotny1.675670K. Bartak2.101111113WJul 27 · 22:30K. Bartak1.731111113P. Stuchlik2.002950LJul 27 · 17:00M. Syroha1.401111711143K. Bartak2.75134118122LJul 27 · 16:00M. Barta2.101111113K. Bartak1.678590
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