TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12302236
Played Jul 25Finished
Radek Hruby
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
14121199119111012
Miloslav Dvorak
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeRadek Hruby to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Hruby above · Miloslav Dvorak below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 108 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Radek Hruby at 55.3%
108 points played in total.
H2H Radek Hruby 2–1 Miloslav Dvorak Miloslav Dvorak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hruby
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hruby 1262 vs Dvorak 1281
Dvorak
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hruby 20% vs Dvorak 0%
Hruby
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hruby 10% vs Dvorak 30%
Dvorak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hruby +1 · Dvorak -5
Dvorak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dvorak) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHruby 1.73 / Dvorak 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dvorak)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #12302236
Hruby1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite33% won 5 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Dvorak2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 7 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHruby2wins
AwayDvorak1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderHruby leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHruby66.7%2 of 3
AwayDvorakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hruby3Dvorak0n = 3Hruby took 3 of 3
S2Hruby3Dvorak0n = 3Hruby took 3 of 3
S3Hruby0Dvorak3n = 3Dvorak took 3 of 3
S4Hruby1Dvorak2n = 3Dvorak took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHrubyDvorakH − DBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match45.340.0+5.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrubyDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 111 vs 46 / 11536%40%40 / 111 vs 46 / 115Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakHruby 1.73/Dvorak 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 25 · 21:10R. Hruby—141199102M. Dvorak—1291111123
WJul 25 · 20:35R. Hruby—11118113M. Dvorak—561161
WMar 15 · 15:05R. Hruby—111136113M. Dvorak—46111152
R. Hruby10
LSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113LSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113WSep 5 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.301181191R. Hruby3.4091113113WSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123WAug 30 · 17:05R. Hruby2.10116811113R. Jaros1.6741111972WAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby2.101111113R. Jaros1.679550LAug 30 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.3311411113R. Hruby3.25811881LAug 30 · 14:35P. Pesout1.57131110113R. Hruby2.251161291LAug 28 · 21:05R. Hruby1.538770T. Motacek2.381111113WAug 28 · 20:35T. Motacek1.5791070R. Hruby2.251112113
M. Dvorak10
LJul 25 · 20:35R. Hruby2.1011118113M. Dvorak1.67561161LJul 25 · 19:35M. Dvorak2.7561130R. Vavricka1.401113113LJul 25 · 18:05D. Hons1.401111113M. Dvorak2.756390LJul 23 · 21:20M. Dvorak1.8081211782M. Chmelicek1.911110911113LJul 23 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.00111485113M. Dvorak1.73912111132LJul 23 · 19:35M. Dvorak2.003590M. Flesar1.731111113WJul 23 · 18:05M. Chmelicek1.806970M. Dvorak1.911111113WJul 22 · 21:23M. Chmelicek1.73711711M. Dvorak2.0011811113WJul 22 · 20:35M. Cyrus2.20691111112M. Dvorak1.61111199133LJul 22 · 19:35M. Dvorak1.671740M. Flesar2.101111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.