TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12280865
Played Jul 22Finished
Miroslav Cyrus
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6119111191191113
Miloslav Dvorak
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:47 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeMiloslav Dvorak to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Cyrus above · Miloslav Dvorak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 101 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Miloslav Dvorak at 56.7%
101 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Cyrus 3–2 Miloslav Dvorak Miloslav Dvorak has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:47What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Dvorak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyrus 1420 vs Dvorak 1316
Cyrus
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyrus 80% vs Dvorak 0%
Cyrus
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyrus 70% vs Dvorak 30%
Cyrus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyrus +2 · Dvorak -5
Dvorak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Cyrus) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyrus 2.20 / Dvorak 1.61
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Cyrus)+14.4pp
TT Cup · #12280865
Cyrus2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 16 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Dvorak1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite40% won 6 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeCyrus3wins
AwayDvorak2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderCyrus leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyrus66.7%2 of 3
AwayDvorakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyrus3Dvorak2n = 5Cyrus took 3 of 5
S2Cyrus3Dvorak2n = 5Cyrus took 3 of 5
S3Cyrus2Dvorak3n = 5Dvorak took 3 of 5
S4Cyrus3Dvorak1n = 4Cyrus took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricCyrusDvorakC − DBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match42.239.0+3.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCyrusDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 150 vs 42 / 10547.3%40%71 / 150 vs 42 / 105Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CyrusCyrus 2.20/Dvorak 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.7%
Cyrus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WMar 15 · 18:20M. Cyrus—115711113M. Dvorak—61111962
LMar 15 · 16:05M. Cyrus—1112311102M. Dvorak—1310116123
LMar 5 · 17:05M. Cyrus—117861M. Dvorak—51111113
WDec 30 · 14:40M. Cyrus—1111173M. Dvorak—55150
WDec 30 · 11:35M. Cyrus—101611113M. Dvorak—1214381
M. Cyrus10
WSep 4 · 21:45M. Cyrus2.101111314113M. Rojka1.67135111282WSep 4 · 20:35M. Cyrus1.44111011113R. Jaros2.63412771WSep 4 · 19:05M. Chmelicek1.61921131M. Cyrus2.2011119113WSep 4 · 18:35M. Rojka1.50119117112M. Cyrus2.50811811133LSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 16:35P. Pesout1.831111113M. Cyrus1.837230LSep 2 · 15:35M. Cyrus2.251760M. Flesar1.571111113WSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113WAug 23 · 13:14R. Jaros2.3891340M. Cyrus1.531115113LAug 23 · 12:05J. Horky1.3313711113M. Cyrus3.251111821
M. Dvorak10
WJul 25 · 21:10R. Hruby1.73141199102M. Dvorak2.001291111123LJul 25 · 20:35R. Hruby2.1011118113M. Dvorak1.67561161LJul 25 · 19:35M. Dvorak2.7561130R. Vavricka1.401113113LJul 25 · 18:05D. Hons1.401111113M. Dvorak2.756390LJul 23 · 21:20M. Dvorak1.8081211782M. Chmelicek1.911110911113LJul 23 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.00111485113M. Dvorak1.73912111132LJul 23 · 19:35M. Dvorak2.003590M. Flesar1.731111113WJul 23 · 18:05M. Chmelicek1.806970M. Dvorak1.911111113WJul 22 · 21:23M. Chmelicek1.73711711M. Dvorak2.0011811113LJul 22 · 19:35M. Dvorak1.671740M. Flesar2.101111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.