TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12300110
Played Jul 25Finished
Radek Hruby
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115116811116––
Miloslav Dvorak
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:00 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMiloslav Dvorak to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Hruby above · Miloslav Dvorak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Miloslav Dvorak at 55.8%
69 points played in total.
H2H Radek Hruby 1–0 Miloslav Dvorak Miloslav Dvorak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:00What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Dvorak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hruby 1246 vs Dvorak 1296
Dvorak
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hruby 0% vs Dvorak 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hruby 0% vs Dvorak 30%
Dvorak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hruby -5 · Dvorak -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Dvorak) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHruby 2.10 / Dvorak 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Dvorak)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12300110
Hruby2.10
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 11 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back42% 5 of 12
Dvorak1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite37% won 7 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHruby1wins
AwayDvorak0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHruby leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHrubyDvorakH − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.037.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrubyDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 109 vs 45 / 11335.8%39.8%39 / 109 vs 45 / 113Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakHruby 2.10/Dvorak 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.8%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hruby won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMar 15 · 15:05R. Hruby—111136113M. Dvorak—46111152
R. Hruby10
LSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113LSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113WSep 5 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.301181191R. Hruby3.4091113113WSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123WAug 30 · 17:05R. Hruby2.10116811113R. Jaros1.6741111972WAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby2.101111113R. Jaros1.679550LAug 30 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.3311411113R. Hruby3.25811881LAug 30 · 14:35P. Pesout1.57131110113R. Hruby2.251161291LAug 28 · 21:05R. Hruby1.538770T. Motacek2.381111113WAug 28 · 20:35T. Motacek1.5791070R. Hruby2.251112113
M. Dvorak10
WJul 25 · 21:10R. Hruby1.73141199102M. Dvorak2.001291111123LJul 25 · 19:35M. Dvorak2.7561130R. Vavricka1.401113113LJul 25 · 18:05D. Hons1.401111113M. Dvorak2.756390LJul 23 · 21:20M. Dvorak1.8081211782M. Chmelicek1.911110911113LJul 23 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.00111485113M. Dvorak1.73912111132LJul 23 · 19:35M. Dvorak2.003590M. Flesar1.731111113WJul 23 · 18:05M. Chmelicek1.806970M. Dvorak1.911111113WJul 22 · 21:23M. Chmelicek1.73711711M. Dvorak2.0011811113WJul 22 · 20:35M. Cyrus2.20691111112M. Dvorak1.61111199133LJul 22 · 19:35M. Dvorak1.671740M. Flesar2.101111113
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