Jan Kabelka vs Miloslav Dvorak 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12287410

Played Jul 23Finished

Jan Kabelka

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1191412811511113

Miloslav Dvorak

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Miloslav Dvorak to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJan Kabelka above · Miloslav Dvorak below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 14-12

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 5-11

Set 5 · 11-3

Point 95 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Miloslav Dvorak at 54.0%

95 points played in total.

H2H Jan Kabelka 1–2 Miloslav Dvorak Jan Kabelka has won 1 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 1–2Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 10:41

What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Dvorak

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

1-2 in 3

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kabelka 1377 vs Dvorak 1343

Kabelka

Correct

both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kabelka 60% vs Dvorak 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kabelka 50% vs Dvorak 30%

Kabelka

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kabelka +1 · Dvorak -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dvorak)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKabelka 2.00 / Dvorak 1.73

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Dvorak)+0.3pp

TT Cup · #12287410

Kabelka2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog40% won 27 of 67

Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 40

Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23

Dvorak1.73

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite41% won 7 of 17

Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeKabelka1wins

AwayDvorak2wins

Dvorak leads 2–1.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kabelka1Dvorak2n = 3Dvorak took 2 of 3

S2Kabelka2Dvorak1n = 3Kabelka took 2 of 3

S3Kabelka1Dvorak2n = 3Dvorak took 2 of 3

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home133%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away133%

0–3Straight, away133%

These 3 meetings

MetricKabelkaDvorakK − DBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match31.032.0−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKabelkaDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 189 vs 45 / 10945.5%41.3%86 / 189 vs 45 / 109Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Dvorak

Kabelka 2.00/Dvorak 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Dvorak · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Kabelka won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record3

WJul 17 · 20:35J. Kabelka—1111113M. Dvorak—5970

LJul 13 · 20:05J. Kabelka—911981M. Dvorak—11911113

LDec 5 · 21:05J. Kabelka—7790M. Dvorak—1111113

J. Kabelka10

WSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551 WSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681 LSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720 WSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133 LSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180 LSep 2 · 21:18M. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7341180 LSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720 WSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133 LSep 2 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.8011211632M. Rojka1.91611311113 LSep 1 · 21:18J. Kabelka2.004570T. Krcil1.731111113

M. Dvorak10

WJul 25 · 21:10R. Hruby1.73141199102M. Dvorak2.001291111123 LJul 25 · 20:35R. Hruby2.1011118113M. Dvorak1.67561161 LJul 25 · 19:35M. Dvorak2.7561130R. Vavricka1.401113113 LJul 25 · 18:05D. Hons1.401111113M. Dvorak2.756390 LJul 23 · 21:20M. Dvorak1.8081211782M. Chmelicek1.911110911113 LJul 23 · 19:35M. Dvorak2.003590M. Flesar1.731111113 WJul 23 · 18:05M. Chmelicek1.806970M. Dvorak1.911111113 WJul 22 · 21:23M. Chmelicek1.73711711M. Dvorak2.0011811113 WJul 22 · 20:35M. Cyrus2.20691111112M. Dvorak1.61111199133 LJul 22 · 19:35M. Dvorak1.671740M. Flesar2.101111113

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.