TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12290668
Played Jul 23Finished
Miloslav Dvorak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111210119711811
Martin Chmelicek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMiloslav Dvorak to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
8111210119711811
H2H Miloslav Dvorak 9–5 Martin Chmelicek Martin Chmelicek has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dvorak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Dvorak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dvorak 1324 vs Chmelicek 1365
Chmelicek
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dvorak 60% vs Chmelicek 20%
Dvorak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dvorak 30% vs Chmelicek 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dvorak -2 · Chmelicek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dvorak) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chmelicek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvorak 1.80 / Chmelicek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dvorak)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12290668
Dvorak1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite41% won 7 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Chmelicek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 36 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back7% 4 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvorak6wins
AwayChmelicek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDvorak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvorak80%4 of 5
AwayChmelicek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvorak5Chmelicek5n = 10split evenly
S2Dvorak6Chmelicek4n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S3Dvorak5Chmelicek5n = 10split evenly
S4Dvorak6Chmelicek2n = 8Dvorak took 6 of 8
S5Dvorak1Chmelicek2n = 3Chmelicek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvorakChmelicekD − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.837.3+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvorakChmelicekBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 110 vs 169 / 36240.9%46.7%45 / 110 vs 169 / 362Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakDvorak 1.80/Chmelicek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chmelicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 18:05M. Dvorak—1111113M. Chmelicek—6970
WJul 22 · 21:23M. Dvorak—11811113M. Chmelicek—711711
LJul 22 · 18:05M. Dvorak—771151M. Chmelicek—11119113
LJul 17 · 19:35M. Dvorak—11146672M. Chmelicek—6121111113
LMar 28 · 22:15M. Dvorak—74110M. Chmelicek—1111133
LMar 28 · 21:35M. Dvorak—81181192M. Chmelicek—117119113
WMar 14 · 14:15M. Dvorak—481111113M. Chmelicek—11119892
WMar 14 · 13:05M. Dvorak—61114113M. Chmelicek—1151251
WJan 16 · 22:10M. Dvorak—11116113M. Chmelicek—841191
WJan 16 · 21:35M. Dvorak—12111113M. Chmelicek—1081161
M. Dvorak10
WJul 25 · 21:10R. Hruby1.73141199102M. Dvorak2.001291111123LJul 25 · 20:35R. Hruby2.1011118113M. Dvorak1.67561161LJul 25 · 19:35M. Dvorak2.7561130R. Vavricka1.401113113LJul 25 · 18:05D. Hons1.401111113M. Dvorak2.756390LJul 23 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.00111485113M. Dvorak1.73912111132LJul 23 · 19:35M. Dvorak2.003590M. Flesar1.731111113WJul 23 · 18:05M. Chmelicek1.806970M. Dvorak1.911111113WJul 22 · 21:23M. Chmelicek1.73711711M. Dvorak2.0011811113WJul 22 · 20:35M. Cyrus2.20691111112M. Dvorak1.61111199133LJul 22 · 19:35M. Dvorak1.671740M. Flesar2.101111113
M. Chmelicek10
LSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840WSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.4451141142M. Chmelicek2.63117116113WSep 6 · 19:35M. Rojka1.916411131M. Chmelicek1.8011118153LSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 6 · 13:04M. Chmelicek1.2511119622R. Jaros3.7569111143LSep 6 · 12:05M. Chmelicek1.91911941P. Pesout1.8011711113LSep 6 · 11:05M. Chmelicek1.676790T. Motacek2.101111113WSep 6 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.201112109113R. Jaros4.33810121172LJul 23 · 18:05M. Chmelicek1.806970M. Dvorak1.911111113LJul 22 · 21:23M. Chmelicek1.73711711M. Dvorak2.0011811113
Upcoming Matches
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M. Chmelicek
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