Daniel Zelezny vs Jan Osmera 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12114472

Played Jun 28Finished

Daniel Zelezny

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

9111181154111210

Jan Osmera

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingDaniel Zelezny above · Jan Osmera below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 4-11

Set 5 · 12-10

Point 92 set 5, 12-10

92 points played in total.

H2H Daniel Zelezny 3–3 Jan Osmera Dead even across their 6 meetings.

Last 6 · 3–3Head to head

Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Osmera)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZelezny 1.80 / Osmera 1.91

Signal prob.41% / 60%

Edge (Osmera)+11.0pp

TT Cup · #12114472

Zelezny1.80

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite54% won 43 of 79

Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18

Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40

Osmera1.91

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog49% won 43 of 88

Down 0–1, comes back40% 18 of 45

Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 6 meetings

HomeZelezny3wins

AwayOsmera3wins

2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZeleznyn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayOsmera75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zelezny2Osmera4n = 6Osmera took 4 of 6

S2Zelezny4Osmera2n = 6Zelezny took 4 of 6

S3Zelezny3Osmera3n = 6split evenly

S4Zelezny2Osmera2n = 5split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home233%

3–2Decider, home117%

2–3Decider, away117%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away117%

These 6 meetings

MetricZeleznyOsmeraZ − OBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match39.237.7+1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZeleznyOsmeraBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 449 vs 256 / 45453.2%56.4%239 / 449 vs 256 / 454Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Osmera

Zelezny 1.80/Osmera 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

59.5%

Osmera · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Zelezny won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record6

LMay 29 · 16:50D. Zelezny—8880J. Osmera—1111113

WJan 22 · 20:20D. Zelezny—111311113J. Osmera—9111331

WNov 4 · 17:10D. Zelezny—41111113J. Osmera—117671

WOct 27 · 16:35D. Zelezny—1311109113J. Osmera—116121192

LOct 18 · 10:50D. Zelezny—811111062J. Osmera—115212103

LOct 4 · 14:50D. Zelezny—641171J. Osmera—1111872

D. Zelezny10

LSep 11 · 15:50J. Sebl2.00126911113D. Zelezny1.73101111792 WSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241 WJul 18 · 14:24D. Zelezny2.29911511113C. Kratochvil1.5111711992 LJul 18 · 12:55D. Zelezny1.7391171262C. Kratochvil2.001191110113 WJul 18 · 11:55D. Zelezny2.381311113T. Hnizdil1.5311540 WJul 18 · 10:55D. Zelezny2.001111113O. Knazik1.738520 WJul 4 · 14:04D. Zelezny1.831110811113P. Vodal1.8381211882 WJul 4 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.73561211113P. Vodal2.00111110852 LJul 4 · 11:55T. Rein2.751171111113D. Zelezny1.4013117382 LJul 4 · 11:25A. Jr3.50581111113D. Zelezny1.2811116972

J. Osmera10

LSep 10 · 10:04T. Rein2.3811711113J. Osmera1.53711941 LSep 10 · 08:55F. Dvorak2.10117911113J. Osmera1.6781111652 LSep 10 · 08:25V. Koutnik2.101111113J. Osmera1.676950 LSep 10 · 07:25J. Osmera1.33126991T. Rein3.25101111113 WSep 8 · 17:55J. Osmera1.7391111113C. Kratochvil2.00116781 WSep 8 · 16:55J. Osmera1.53811116113A. Jr2.3811871172 WSep 8 · 15:55J. Osmera1.73511411113C. Kratochvil2.0011911992 LSep 8 · 14:55J. Osmera1.619114131V. Koutnik2.2011911153 LAug 20 · 10:38M. Filipek1.8381114113J. Osmera1.831191291 WAug 20 · 08:55J. Osmera1.73871111143P. Vodal2.00111198122

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