TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasyl Moroz vs Andrii Lanchut 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210119––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:45 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVasyl Moroz to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Moroz above · Andrii Lanchut below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vasyl Moroz at 55.8%
59 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moroz 1–0 Andrii Lanchut Andrii Lanchut has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:45What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Moroz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Moroz 468 vs Lanchut 372
Moroz
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moroz 20% vs Lanchut 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moroz 30% vs Lanchut 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moroz -4 · Lanchut -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Moroz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lanchut form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoroz 1.67 / Lanchut 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Moroz)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13203750
Moroz1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 9 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Lanchut2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog12% won 4 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMoroz1wins
AwayLanchut0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMoroz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMorozLanchutM − LBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match48.044.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorozLanchutBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 119 vs 9 / 8630.3%10.5%36 / 119 vs 9 / 86Avg sets wonper match1.50.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.029.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MorozMoroz 1.67/Lanchut 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Moroz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Moroz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 1 · 05:35V. Moroz48711118113A. Lanchut4411971162
V. Moroz10
LSep 27 · 13:25V. Moroz4.506101131V. Sydorchuk1.1711128113LSep 18 · 17:55M. Senyk1.441111113V. Moroz2.633880LSep 18 · 16:55V. Moroz4.00115471O. Bolnyh1.2261111113LSep 18 · 15:55V. Moroz4.334830V. Sydorchuk1.201111113WSep 18 · 14:25V. Moroz2.25981111113M. Kornijchuk1.5711119992LSep 18 · 12:25V. Moroz5.5011951132P. Chyzh1.13911115113WSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk1.284690V. Moroz3.501111113WSep 13 · 09:55O. Kulbach2.3837100V. Moroz1.531111123LSep 13 · 08:25M. Kornijchuk1.6711117113V. Moroz2.10681151LSep 13 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.2251111113V. Moroz4.00116981
A. Lanchut10
LSep 27 · 13:55A. Lanchut4.004610V. Slobodian1.22111143LSep 27 · 12:55O. Kulbach1.611111103A. Lanchut2.207660LSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123LSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.