TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13150083
Played Sep 18Finished
Vasyl Moroz
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116511411711––
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:48 and never touched — 77.4% is still 77.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bolnyh to win
77.4%
77.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Moroz above · Oleksandr Bolnyh below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 66 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Bolnyh at 77.4%
66 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moroz 6–8 Oleksandr Bolnyh Vasyl Moroz has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Bolnyh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Bolnyh
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moroz 490 vs Bolnyh 791
Bolnyh
Correct
both rated, 301 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moroz 60% vs Bolnyh 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moroz 30% vs Bolnyh 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moroz -1 · Bolnyh +3
Bolnyh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Bolnyh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bolnyh form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoroz 4.00 / Bolnyh 1.22
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Bolnyh)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13150083
Moroz4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 22 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Bolnyh1.22
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 38 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoroz4wins
AwayBolnyh6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBolnyh leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoroz60%3 of 5
AwayBolnyh80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moroz5Bolnyh5n = 10split evenly
S2Moroz3Bolnyh7n = 10Bolnyh took 7 of 10
S3Moroz4Bolnyh6n = 10Bolnyh took 6 of 10
S4Moroz3Bolnyh4n = 7Bolnyh took 4 of 7
S5Moroz2Bolnyh1n = 3Moroz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMorozBolnyhM − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.038.5−4.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorozBolnyhBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 116 vs 85 / 19031%44.7%36 / 116 vs 85 / 190Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.236.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BolnyhMoroz 4.00/Bolnyh 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Bolnyh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bolnyh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 07:55V. Moroz4412117772O. Bolnyh491061111113
LAug 6 · 07:25V. Moroz2321290O. Bolnyh361114113
LAug 5 · 12:25V. Moroz34711971O. Bolnyh4211911113
LJul 9 · 13:25V. Moroz195860O. Bolnyh331111113
WJul 2 · 05:55V. Moroz341211113O. Bolnyh1910180
WJul 1 · 14:25V. Moroz47115911113O. Bolnyh4341111892
LJun 19 · 05:55V. Moroz33119491O. Bolnyh4291111113
WJun 18 · 12:25V. Moroz47681111113O. Bolnyh4411118952
WJun 3 · 05:55V. Moroz4111811113O. Bolnyh35811791
LJun 2 · 18:55V. Moroz18301141O. Bolnyh4211119113
V. Moroz10
LSep 18 · 17:55M. Senyk1.441111113V. Moroz2.633880LSep 18 · 15:55V. Moroz4.334830V. Sydorchuk1.201111113WSep 18 · 14:25V. Moroz2.25981111113M. Kornijchuk1.5711119992LSep 18 · 12:25V. Moroz5.5011951132P. Chyzh1.13911115113WSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk1.284690V. Moroz3.501111113WSep 13 · 09:55O. Kulbach2.3837100V. Moroz1.531111123LSep 13 · 08:25M. Kornijchuk1.6711117113V. Moroz2.10681151LSep 13 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.2251111113V. Moroz4.00116981LSep 13 · 04:25P. Chyzh1.2211515113V. Moroz4.007111341LSep 12 · 17:55P. Chyzh1.228101111113V. Moroz4.0011128972
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 18 · 14:55M. Senyk3.0089100O. Bolnyh1.361111123WSep 18 · 13:55O. Bolnyh1.73128412113V. Sydorchuk2.001011111042WSep 18 · 12:55M. Kornijchuk3.40511291O. Bolnyh1.3011811113LSep 10 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.1711129113O. Bolnyh4.509101151LSep 10 · 09:55I. Fokin1.17611117113O. Bolnyh4.5011971192LSep 10 · 08:25A. Nikolenko1.131113113O. Bolnyh5.5081170LSep 10 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.008840LSep 10 · 04:25M. Dunas1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.509360LSep 9 · 18:25I. Fokin1.5012119113O. Bolnyh2.501091191LSep 9 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi1.1411811133O. Bolnyh5.005118111
Upcoming Matches
V. Moroz
Nothing scheduled
O. Bolnyh
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