TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13149319
Played Sep 18Finished
Vasyl Moroz
Home
5.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119911511115311
Pavlo Chyzh
Away
1.13
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:58 and never touched — 83.0% is still 83.0%
Graded at full timePavlo Chyzh to win
83.0%
83.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Moroz above · Pavlo Chyzh below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 86 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Pavlo Chyzh at 83.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moroz 0–2 Pavlo Chyzh Vasyl Moroz has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Chyzh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Moroz 502 vs Chyzh 799
Chyzh
Correct
both rated, 298 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moroz 40% vs Chyzh 100%
Chyzh
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moroz 40% vs Chyzh 80%
Chyzh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moroz +2 · Chyzh +8
Chyzh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Chyzh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chyzh form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoroz 5.50 / Chyzh 1.13
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Chyzh)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13149319
Moroz5.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog28% won 22 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Chyzh1.13
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 39 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 25 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMoroz0wins
AwayChyzh2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderChyzh leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMorozChyzhM − CBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.046.5−5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorozChyzhBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 113 vs 90 / 21831%41.3%35 / 113 vs 90 / 218Avg sets wonper match1.51.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.235.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhMoroz 5.50/Chyzh 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chyzh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 13 · 04:25V. Moroz357111341P. Chyzh4211515113
LSep 12 · 17:55V. Moroz4711128972P. Chyzh518101111113
V. Moroz10
WSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk1.284690V. Moroz3.501111113WSep 13 · 09:55O. Kulbach2.3837100V. Moroz1.531111123LSep 13 · 08:25M. Kornijchuk1.6711117113V. Moroz2.10681151LSep 13 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.2251111113V. Moroz4.00116981LSep 13 · 04:25P. Chyzh1.2211515113V. Moroz4.007111341LSep 12 · 17:55P. Chyzh1.228101111113V. Moroz4.0011128972LSep 12 · 16:55V. Moroz2.1089111182M. Kornijchuk1.67111198113WSep 12 · 15:55V. Moroz5.001171110113V. Sydorchuk1.1461151292LSep 12 · 14:25V. Moroz3.50116501M. Senyk1.287111123WSep 12 · 12:25V. Moroz1.6111912113O. Kulbach2.209111081
P. Chyzh10
WSep 18 · 13:25M. Senyk6.5011716472P. Chyzh1.109111411113WSep 13 · 10:25P. Chyzh1.301111123M. Kornijchuk3.4033100WSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.201311113M. Senyk4.3311690WSep 13 · 07:25P. Chyzh1.73111113113V. Sydorchuk2.00961541WSep 13 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.259111011113O. Kulbach3.7511312792WSep 13 · 04:25P. Chyzh1.2211515113V. Moroz4.007111341WSep 12 · 17:55P. Chyzh1.228101111113V. Moroz4.0011128972WSep 12 · 16:25P. Chyzh1.501113113M. Senyk2.5071160WSep 12 · 14:55P. Chyzh1.5313912113M. Kornijchuk2.3811111031LSep 12 · 13:25P. Chyzh1.30811171O. Kulbach3.4011116113
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