TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148417
Played Sep 18Finished
Mykhailo Senyk
Home
6.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1197111614411711
Pavlo Chyzh
Away
1.10
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 88.3% is still 88.3%
Graded at full timePavlo Chyzh to win
88.3%
88.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Pavlo Chyzh below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 101 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Pavlo Chyzh at 88.3%
101 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 0–2 Pavlo Chyzh Mykhailo Senyk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Chyzh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Senyk 598 vs Chyzh 803
Chyzh
Correct
both rated, 205 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 20% vs Chyzh 100%
Chyzh
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 30% vs Chyzh 90%
Chyzh
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk -3 · Chyzh +9
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Chyzh)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 6.50 / Chyzh 1.10
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Chyzh)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13148417
Senyk6.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog16% won 17 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back4% 3 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 52
Chyzh1.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 39 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 25 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSenyk0wins
AwayChyzh2wins
Chyzh leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricSenykChyzhS − CBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match25.035.0−10.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykChyzhBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 349 vs 90 / 21641%41.7%143 / 349 vs 90 / 216Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.935.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhSenyk 6.50/Chyzh 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.3%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chyzh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 13 · 08:55M. Senyk2611690P. Chyzh351311113
LSep 12 · 16:25M. Senyk2471160P. Chyzh351113113
M. Senyk10
LSep 18 · 11:55M. Senyk1.73111141182V. Sydorchuk2.00136118113LSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk1.284690V. Moroz3.501111113LSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.201311113M. Senyk4.3311690WSep 13 · 07:55M. Senyk1.361113123O. Kulbach3.00811100LSep 13 · 06:55M. Kornijchuk2.38931113113M. Senyk1.53111181182LSep 13 · 05:25M. Senyk1.5081111232V. Sydorchuk2.50116511113WSep 12 · 18:25M. Senyk1.731111103V. Sydorchuk2.006990LSep 12 · 16:25P. Chyzh1.501113113M. Senyk2.5071160LSep 12 · 15:25M. Senyk1.30911691O. Kulbach3.4011811103WSep 12 · 14:25V. Moroz3.50116501M. Senyk1.287111123
P. Chyzh10
WSep 18 · 12:25V. Moroz5.5011951132P. Chyzh1.13911115113WSep 13 · 10:25P. Chyzh1.301111123M. Kornijchuk3.4033100WSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.201311113M. Senyk4.3311690WSep 13 · 07:25P. Chyzh1.73111113113V. Sydorchuk2.00961541WSep 13 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.259111011113O. Kulbach3.7511312792WSep 13 · 04:25P. Chyzh1.2211515113V. Moroz4.007111341WSep 12 · 17:55P. Chyzh1.228101111113V. Moroz4.0011128972WSep 12 · 16:25P. Chyzh1.501113113M. Senyk2.5071160WSep 12 · 14:55P. Chyzh1.5313912113M. Kornijchuk2.3811111031LSep 12 · 13:25P. Chyzh1.30811171O. Kulbach3.4011116113
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