TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117067
Played Sep 12Finished
Pavlo Chyzh
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811111116711––
Oleksii Kulbach
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:33 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timePavlo Chyzh to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavlo Chyzh above · Oleksii Kulbach below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 66 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Pavlo Chyzh at 70.9%
66 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:33What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Chyzh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Chyzh 860 vs Kulbach 370
Chyzh
Wrong
both rated, 490 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chyzh 20% vs Kulbach 40%
Kulbach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chyzh 30% vs Kulbach 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chyzh -2 · Kulbach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Chyzh) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulbach form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChyzh 1.30 / Kulbach 3.40
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Chyzh)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13117067
Chyzh1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite49% won 32 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Kulbach3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog15% won 14 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back8% 5 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChyzhKulbachBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 209 vs 44 / 19139.2%23%82 / 209 vs 44 / 191Avg sets wonper match1.71.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.433.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhChyzh 1.30/Kulbach 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.3%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulbach won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Chyzh10
LSep 12 · 11:55P. Chyzh1.61211441V. Sydorchuk2.2011911113LAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 09:25P. Chyzh2.25713119113V. Ivanytskyi1.57111151192LAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113LAug 30 · 06:55P. Chyzh1.731111951V. Sydorchuk2.0013911113LAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113WAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121LAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 15:25P. Chyzh1.40101111113P. Melnichuk2.75129891LAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270
O. Kulbach10
LSep 12 · 12:25V. Moroz1.6111912113O. Kulbach2.209111081WSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113LSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143WSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113LSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891LSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123WSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach2.63121166113V. Moroz1.44109111162
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