TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122625
Played Sep 13Finished
Pavlo Chyzh
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191161315114––
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavlo Chyzh to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Chyzh above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 80 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Pavlo Chyzh at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Chyzh 1–3 Viktor Sydorchuk Pavlo Chyzh has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:15What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chyzh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Sydorchuk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chyzh 782 vs Sydorchuk 684
Chyzh
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chyzh 100% vs Sydorchuk 60%
Chyzh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chyzh 60% vs Sydorchuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chyzh +5 · Sydorchuk +2
Chyzh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chyzh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chyzh form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChyzh 1.73 / Sydorchuk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chyzh)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13122625
Chyzh1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 34 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it72% 21 of 29
Sydorchuk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 50 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeChyzh1wins
AwaySydorchuk3wins
Sydorchuk leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChyzhn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySydorchuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chyzh1Sydorchuk3n = 4Sydorchuk took 3 of 4
S2Chyzh3Sydorchuk1n = 4Chyzh took 3 of 4
S3Chyzh1Sydorchuk3n = 4Sydorchuk took 3 of 4
S4Chyzh1Sydorchuk3n = 4Sydorchuk took 3 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricChyzhSydorchukC − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.539.5−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChyzhSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 216 vs 143 / 33640.7%42.6%88 / 216 vs 143 / 336Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhChyzh 1.73/Sydorchuk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chyzh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 13 · 07:25P. Chyzh46111113113V. Sydorchuk34961541
LSep 12 · 11:55P. Chyzh21211441V. Sydorchuk4211911113
LAug 30 · 06:55P. Chyzh361111951V. Sydorchuk4413911113
LAug 29 · 12:55P. Chyzh31881141V. Sydorchuk3811115113
P. Chyzh10
WSep 13 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.259111011113O. Kulbach3.7511312792WSep 13 · 04:25P. Chyzh1.2211515113V. Moroz4.007111341WSep 12 · 17:55P. Chyzh1.228101111113V. Moroz4.0011128972WSep 12 · 16:25P. Chyzh1.501113113M. Senyk2.5071160WSep 12 · 14:55P. Chyzh1.5313912113M. Kornijchuk2.3811111031LSep 12 · 13:25P. Chyzh1.30811171O. Kulbach3.4011116113LSep 12 · 11:55P. Chyzh1.61211441V. Sydorchuk2.2011911113LAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 09:25P. Chyzh2.25713119113V. Ivanytskyi1.57111151192LAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113
V. Sydorchuk10
WSep 13 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.2251111113V. Moroz4.00116981WSep 13 · 05:25M. Senyk1.5081111232V. Sydorchuk2.50116511113LSep 12 · 18:25M. Senyk1.731111103V. Sydorchuk2.006990WSep 12 · 17:25O. Kulbach5.00911651V. Sydorchuk1.141181173LSep 12 · 15:55V. Moroz5.001171110113V. Sydorchuk1.1461151292WSep 12 · 13:55M. Kornijchuk2.384850V. Sydorchuk1.531111103WSep 12 · 11:55P. Chyzh1.61211441V. Sydorchuk2.2011911113LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113
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