TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13118442
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksii Kulbach
Home
5.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91111861157––
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
1.14
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:43 and never touched — 83.0% is still 83.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Sydorchuk to win
83.0%
83.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Kulbach above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-7
Point 68 set 4, 5-7 — our read held Viktor Sydorchuk at 83.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Kulbach 8–27 Viktor Sydorchuk Oleksii Kulbach has won 8 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Sydorchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-27 in 35
Sydorchuk
Correct
gap of 19 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulbach 439 vs Sydorchuk 712
Sydorchuk
Correct
both rated, 273 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulbach 60% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Kulbach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulbach 40% vs Sydorchuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulbach +2 · Sydorchuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Sydorchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulbach 5.00 / Sydorchuk 1.14
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Sydorchuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13118442
Kulbach5.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog15% won 14 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back8% 5 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Sydorchuk1.14
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 51 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulbach1wins
AwaySydorchuk9wins
Sydorchuk leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulbachn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySydorchuk87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulbach2Sydorchuk8n = 10Sydorchuk took 8 of 10
S2Kulbach3Sydorchuk7n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S3Kulbach3Sydorchuk7n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S4Kulbach1Sydorchuk6n = 7Sydorchuk took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulbachSydorchukK − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.638.8−8.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulbachSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 193 vs 140 / 33123.8%42.3%46 / 193 vs 140 / 331Avg sets wonper match1.41.8per matchAvg pointsper match33.736.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukKulbach 5.00/Sydorchuk 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach27711451V. Sydorchuk3711411113
WSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach4291111113V. Sydorchuk36118891
LAug 12 · 13:25O. Kulbach195770V. Sydorchuk331111113
LAug 7 · 09:25O. Kulbach207670V. Sydorchuk331111113
LAug 6 · 04:55O. Kulbach28117281V. Sydorchuk4181111113
LJul 18 · 06:55O. Kulbach194870V. Sydorchuk331111113
LJul 17 · 16:25O. Kulbach4071111111V. Sydorchuk4611139133
LJul 9 · 12:55O. Kulbach361171351V. Sydorchuk4691115113
LJul 1 · 14:55O. Kulbach367111081V. Sydorchuk3811412113
LJun 19 · 09:25O. Kulbach391571161V. Sydorchuk4517116113
O. Kulbach10
WSep 12 · 15:25M. Senyk1.30911691O. Kulbach3.4011811103WSep 12 · 13:25P. Chyzh1.30811171O. Kulbach3.4011116113LSep 12 · 12:25V. Moroz1.6111912113O. Kulbach2.209111081WSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113LSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143WSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113LSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891LSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 12 · 15:55V. Moroz5.001171110113V. Sydorchuk1.1461151292WSep 12 · 13:55M. Kornijchuk2.384850V. Sydorchuk1.531111103WSep 12 · 11:55P. Chyzh1.61211441V. Sydorchuk2.2011911113LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.