TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116784
Played Sep 12Finished
Mykhailo Senyk
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118611910––
Oleksii Kulbach
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Oleksii Kulbach below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-10
Point 75 set 4, 9-10 — our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 70.4%
75 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 29–13 Oleksii Kulbach Oleksii Kulbach has won 13 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:54What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Senyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-13 in 42
Senyk
Wrong
gap of 16 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senyk 629 vs Kulbach 422
Senyk
Wrong
both rated, 207 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 100% vs Kulbach 40%
Senyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 70% vs Kulbach 40%
Senyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk +5 · Kulbach +1
Senyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Senyk) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulbach form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 1.30 / Kulbach 3.40
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Senyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13116784
Senyk1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 74 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it83% 53 of 64
Kulbach3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog15% won 14 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back8% 5 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenyk8wins
AwayKulbach2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenyk75%6 of 8
AwayKulbachn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senyk8Kulbach2n = 10Senyk took 8 of 10
S2Senyk6Kulbach4n = 10Senyk took 6 of 10
S3Senyk7Kulbach3n = 10Senyk took 7 of 10
S4Senyk3Kulbach5n = 8Kulbach took 5 of 8
S5Senyk4Kulbach2n = 6Senyk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenykKulbachS − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match46.341.0+5.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykKulbachBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 344 vs 45 / 19241.3%23.4%142 / 344 vs 45 / 192Avg sets wonper match1.71.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.033.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenykSenyk 1.30/Kulbach 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.9%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulbach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 08:25M. Senyk361111143O. Kulbach2558120
WSep 1 · 05:05M. Senyk49111197113O. Kulbach4395111172
WAug 12 · 16:25M. Senyk4181111113O. Kulbach31117671
WAug 7 · 10:25M. Senyk361111143O. Kulbach3099120
WAug 6 · 06:55M. Senyk4291111113O. Kulbach23114531
WJul 18 · 09:25M. Senyk561281411113O. Kulbach551011121392
LJul 17 · 11:55M. Senyk4411691172O. Kulbach49711119113
LJul 9 · 14:25M. Senyk5012911992O. Kulbach511011811113
WJul 1 · 11:55M. Senyk551191110143O. Kulbach53911912122
WJun 19 · 06:55M. Senyk541111910133O. Kulbach50881112112
M. Senyk10
WSep 12 · 14:25V. Moroz3.50116501M. Senyk1.287111123WSep 12 · 12:55M. Senyk1.911111123M. Kornijchuk1.8044100WSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143LSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181LSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760WSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113LSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172
O. Kulbach10
WSep 12 · 13:25P. Chyzh1.30811171O. Kulbach3.4011116113LSep 12 · 12:25V. Moroz1.6111912113O. Kulbach2.209111081WSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113LSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143WSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113LSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891LSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123WSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.