TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116719
Played Sep 12Finished
Vasyl Moroz
Home
5.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1167111151012119
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
1.14
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 85.8% is still 85.8%
Graded at full timeViktor Sydorchuk to win
85.8%
85.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVasyl Moroz above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Viktor Sydorchuk at 85.8%
93 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moroz 5–15 Viktor Sydorchuk Vasyl Moroz has won 5 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Sydorchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-15 in 20
Sydorchuk
Wrong
gap of 10 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moroz 448 vs Sydorchuk 753
Sydorchuk
Wrong
both rated, 305 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moroz 20% vs Sydorchuk 60%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moroz 20% vs Sydorchuk 60%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moroz -1 · Sydorchuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Sydorchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoroz 5.00 / Sydorchuk 1.14
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Sydorchuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13116719
Moroz5.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 20 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Sydorchuk1.14
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 51 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoroz1wins
AwaySydorchuk9wins
Sydorchuk leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMorozn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySydorchuk88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moroz1Sydorchuk9n = 10Sydorchuk took 9 of 10
S2Moroz5Sydorchuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Moroz1Sydorchuk9n = 10Sydorchuk took 9 of 10
S4Moroz1Sydorchuk5n = 6Sydorchuk took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMorozSydorchukM − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match30.038.0−8.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorozSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 105 vs 140 / 33030.5%42.4%32 / 105 vs 140 / 330Avg sets wonper match1.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match33.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukMoroz 5.00/Sydorchuk 1.14
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
83%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moroz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz2711880V. Sydorchuk351311113
LAug 7 · 05:25V. Moroz225980V. Sydorchuk331111113
LAug 6 · 05:55V. Moroz32811851V. Sydorchuk4211911113
LAug 5 · 16:55V. Moroz30611581V. Sydorchuk4111811113
LJul 9 · 14:55V. Moroz351211751V. Sydorchuk4014411113
LJul 2 · 07:25V. Moroz30129361V. Sydorchuk43101111113
WJul 1 · 16:55V. Moroz46101111143V. Sydorchuk411298121
LJun 19 · 11:25V. Moroz239680V. Sydorchuk331111113
LJun 18 · 14:25V. Moroz31611771V. Sydorchuk3911611113
LJun 12 · 05:55V. Moroz247980V. Sydorchuk331111113
V. Moroz10
LSep 12 · 14:25V. Moroz3.50116501M. Senyk1.287111123WSep 12 · 12:25V. Moroz1.6111912113O. Kulbach2.209111081LSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540LSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113LSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach2.63121166113V. Moroz1.44109111162WSep 1 · 05:35V. Moroz1.83711118113A. Lanchut1.8311971162LAug 7 · 10:55V. Moroz4.004660P. Melnichuk1.221111113LAug 7 · 08:55M. Senyk1.282111110113V. Moroz3.5011881282LAug 7 · 07:55V. Moroz4.5012117772O. Bolnyh1.171061111113
V. Sydorchuk10
WSep 12 · 13:55M. Kornijchuk2.384850V. Sydorchuk1.531111103WSep 12 · 11:55P. Chyzh1.61211441V. Sydorchuk2.2011911113LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113
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