TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122294
Played Sep 13Finished
Viktor Sydorchuk
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511116119118––
Vasyl Moroz
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:32 and never touched — 78.2% is still 78.2%
Graded at full timeViktor Sydorchuk to win
78.2%
78.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Sydorchuk above · Vasyl Moroz below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Viktor Sydorchuk at 78.2%
72 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sydorchuk 16–6 Vasyl Moroz Vasyl Moroz has won 6 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:32What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Sydorchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-6 in 22
Sydorchuk
Correct
gap of 10 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 695 vs Moroz 463
Sydorchuk
Correct
both rated, 232 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 60% vs Moroz 20%
Sydorchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 60% vs Moroz 20%
Sydorchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk +1 · Moroz -3
Moroz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Sydorchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 1.22 / Moroz 4.00
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Sydorchuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13122294
Sydorchuk1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 49 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Moroz4.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 21 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorchuk8wins
AwayMoroz2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSydorchuk leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk85.7%6 of 7
AwayMoroz33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk7Moroz3n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S2Sydorchuk6Moroz4n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S3Sydorchuk8Moroz2n = 10Sydorchuk took 8 of 10
S4Sydorchuk6Moroz1n = 7Sydorchuk took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorchukMorozS − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.932.9+6.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukMorozBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 335 vs 33 / 11042.7%30%143 / 335 vs 33 / 110Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.534.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukSydorchuk 1.22/Moroz 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.2%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk3851111113V. Moroz34116981
LSep 12 · 15:55V. Sydorchuk4361151292V. Moroz501171110113
WSep 1 · 11:05V. Sydorchuk351311113V. Moroz2711880
WAug 7 · 05:25V. Sydorchuk331111113V. Moroz225980
WAug 6 · 05:55V. Sydorchuk4211911113V. Moroz32811851
WAug 5 · 16:55V. Sydorchuk4111811113V. Moroz30611581
WJul 9 · 14:55V. Sydorchuk4014411113V. Moroz351211751
WJul 2 · 07:25V. Sydorchuk43101111113V. Moroz30129361
LJul 1 · 16:55V. Sydorchuk411298121V. Moroz46101111143
WJun 19 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk331111113V. Moroz239680
V. Sydorchuk10
WSep 13 · 05:25M. Senyk1.5081111232V. Sydorchuk2.50116511113LSep 12 · 18:25M. Senyk1.731111103V. Sydorchuk2.006990WSep 12 · 17:25O. Kulbach5.00911651V. Sydorchuk1.141181173LSep 12 · 15:55V. Moroz5.001171110113V. Sydorchuk1.1461151292WSep 12 · 13:55M. Kornijchuk2.384850V. Sydorchuk1.531111103WSep 12 · 11:55P. Chyzh1.61211441V. Sydorchuk2.2011911113LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113
V. Moroz10
LSep 13 · 04:25P. Chyzh1.2211515113V. Moroz4.007111341LSep 12 · 17:55P. Chyzh1.228101111113V. Moroz4.0011128972LSep 12 · 16:55V. Moroz2.1089111182M. Kornijchuk1.67111198113WSep 12 · 15:55V. Moroz5.001171110113V. Sydorchuk1.1461151292LSep 12 · 14:25V. Moroz3.50116501M. Senyk1.287111123WSep 12 · 12:25V. Moroz1.6111912113O. Kulbach2.209111081LSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540LSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113LSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach2.63121166113V. Moroz1.44109111162
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