TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121786
Played Sep 13Finished
Mykhailo Senyk
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811116115211311
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 79 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 59.3%
79 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 41–21 Viktor Sydorchuk Viktor Sydorchuk has won 21 of their 62 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 11h before this match
Senyk beat Sydorchuk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:56What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Senyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-21 in 62
Senyk
Wrong
gap of 20 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senyk 645 vs Sydorchuk 689
Sydorchuk
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 60% vs Sydorchuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 60% vs Sydorchuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk +1 · Sydorchuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Senyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 1.50 / Sydorchuk 2.50
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Senyk)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13121786
Senyk1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 74 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it83% 52 of 63
Sydorchuk2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 50 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenyk8wins
AwaySydorchuk2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenyk100%6 of 6
AwaySydorchuk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senyk6Sydorchuk4n = 10Senyk took 6 of 10
S2Senyk5Sydorchuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Senyk10Sydorchuk0n = 10Senyk took 10 of 10
S4Senyk4Sydorchuk2n = 6Senyk took 4 of 6
S5Senyk3Sydorchuk2n = 5Senyk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenykSydorchukSenyk − SydorchukBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.036.0+5.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 348 vs 142 / 33441.1%42.5%143 / 348 vs 142 / 334Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenykSenyk 1.50/Sydorchuk 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 05:25M. Senyk3581111232V. Sydorchuk44116511113
WSep 12 · 18:25M. Senyk321111103V. Sydorchuk246990
WSep 5 · 09:55M. Senyk521115113123V. Sydorchuk53817711102
WSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk331111113V. Sydorchuk207760
WAug 18 · 07:55M. Senyk517111111113V. Sydorchuk3811136352
LAug 17 · 13:25M. Senyk4599111152V. Sydorchuk47111159113
WAug 13 · 07:25M. Senyk331111113V. Sydorchuk236890
WAug 12 · 15:25M. Senyk351113113V. Sydorchuk2991190
WAug 7 · 07:25M. Senyk4411913113V. Sydorchuk388111181
WAug 6 · 07:55M. Senyk506111111113V. Sydorchuk4411134882
M. Senyk10
WSep 12 · 18:25M. Senyk1.731111103V. Sydorchuk2.006990LSep 12 · 16:25P. Chyzh1.501113113M. Senyk2.5071160LSep 12 · 15:25M. Senyk1.30911691O. Kulbach3.4011811103WSep 12 · 14:25V. Moroz3.50116501M. Senyk1.287111123WSep 12 · 12:55M. Senyk1.911111123M. Kornijchuk1.8044100WSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143LSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181LSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280
V. Sydorchuk10
WSep 13 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.2251111113V. Moroz4.00116981LSep 12 · 18:25M. Senyk1.731111103V. Sydorchuk2.006990WSep 12 · 17:25O. Kulbach5.00911651V. Sydorchuk1.141181173LSep 12 · 15:55V. Moroz5.001171110113V. Sydorchuk1.1461151292WSep 12 · 13:55M. Kornijchuk2.384850V. Sydorchuk1.531111103WSep 12 · 11:55P. Chyzh1.61211441V. Sydorchuk2.2011911113LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113
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