TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117003
Played Sep 12Finished
Pavlo Chyzh
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111012118119117
Vasyl Moroz
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavlo Chyzh to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Chyzh above · Vasyl Moroz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Pavlo Chyzh at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:22What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Chyzh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Chyzh 813 vs Moroz 423
Chyzh
Correct
both rated, 390 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chyzh 40% vs Moroz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chyzh 40% vs Moroz 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chyzh +2 · Moroz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Chyzh) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moroz form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChyzh 1.22 / Moroz 4.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Chyzh)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13117003
Chyzh1.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 32 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Moroz4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 20 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChyzhMorozBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 212 vs 33 / 10739.6%30.8%84 / 212 vs 33 / 107Avg sets wonper match1.71.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.434.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhChyzh 1.22/Moroz 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chyzh won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Chyzh10
WSep 12 · 16:25P. Chyzh1.501113113M. Senyk2.5071160WSep 12 · 14:55P. Chyzh1.5313912113M. Kornijchuk2.3811111031LSep 12 · 13:25P. Chyzh1.30811171O. Kulbach3.4011116113LSep 12 · 11:55P. Chyzh1.61211441V. Sydorchuk2.2011911113LAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 09:25P. Chyzh2.25713119113V. Ivanytskyi1.57111151192LAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113LAug 30 · 06:55P. Chyzh1.731111951V. Sydorchuk2.0013911113LAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113WAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121
V. Moroz10
LSep 12 · 16:55V. Moroz2.1089111182M. Kornijchuk1.67111198113WSep 12 · 15:55V. Moroz5.001171110113V. Sydorchuk1.1461151292LSep 12 · 14:25V. Moroz3.50116501M. Senyk1.287111123WSep 12 · 12:25V. Moroz1.6111912113O. Kulbach2.209111081LSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540LSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113LSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach2.63121166113V. Moroz1.44109111162WSep 1 · 05:35V. Moroz1.83711118113A. Lanchut1.8311971162LAug 7 · 10:55V. Moroz4.004660P. Melnichuk1.221111113
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