TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121986
Played Sep 13Finished
Mykhailo Senyk
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11813111210––––
Oleksii Kulbach
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Oleksii Kulbach below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 65 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 70.4%
65 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 30–14 Oleksii Kulbach Oleksii Kulbach has won 14 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Senyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-14 in 44
Senyk
Correct
gap of 16 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senyk 638 vs Kulbach 427
Senyk
Correct
both rated, 212 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 20% vs Kulbach 40%
Kulbach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 60% vs Kulbach 40%
Senyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk -2 · Kulbach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Senyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 1.36 / Kulbach 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Senyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13121986
Senyk1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 74 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it83% 52 of 63
Kulbach3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog16% won 16 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back7% 5 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenyk7wins
AwayKulbach3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenyk71.4%5 of 7
AwayKulbach33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senyk7Kulbach3n = 10Senyk took 7 of 10
S2Senyk7Kulbach3n = 10Senyk took 7 of 10
S3Senyk7Kulbach3n = 10Senyk took 7 of 10
S4Senyk3Kulbach4n = 7Kulbach took 4 of 7
S5Senyk2Kulbach2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenykKulbachS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.537.6+4.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykKulbachBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 348 vs 47 / 19741.1%23.9%143 / 348 vs 47 / 197Avg sets wonper match1.71.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.033.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenykSenyk 1.36/Kulbach 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Senyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 07:55M. Senyk361113123O. Kulbach29811100
LSep 12 · 15:25M. Senyk35911691O. Kulbach4011811103
WSep 5 · 08:25M. Senyk361111143O. Kulbach2558120
WSep 1 · 05:05M. Senyk49111197113O. Kulbach4395111172
WAug 12 · 16:25M. Senyk4181111113O. Kulbach31117671
WAug 7 · 10:25M. Senyk361111143O. Kulbach3099120
WAug 6 · 06:55M. Senyk4291111113O. Kulbach23114531
WJul 18 · 09:25M. Senyk561281411113O. Kulbach551011121392
LJul 17 · 11:55M. Senyk4411691172O. Kulbach49711119113
LJul 9 · 14:25M. Senyk5012911992O. Kulbach511011811113
M. Senyk10
LSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.201311113M. Senyk4.3311690LSep 13 · 06:55M. Kornijchuk2.38931113113M. Senyk1.53111181182LSep 13 · 05:25M. Senyk1.5081111232V. Sydorchuk2.50116511113WSep 12 · 18:25M. Senyk1.731111103V. Sydorchuk2.006990LSep 12 · 16:25P. Chyzh1.501113113M. Senyk2.5071160LSep 12 · 15:25M. Senyk1.30911691O. Kulbach3.4011811103WSep 12 · 14:25V. Moroz3.50116501M. Senyk1.287111123WSep 12 · 12:55M. Senyk1.911111123M. Kornijchuk1.8044100WSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123
O. Kulbach10
LSep 13 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.259111011113O. Kulbach3.7511312792WSep 13 · 04:55M. Kornijchuk1.283970O. Kulbach3.501111113LSep 12 · 18:55M. Kornijchuk1.441111113O. Kulbach2.639730LSep 12 · 17:25O. Kulbach5.00911651V. Sydorchuk1.141181173WSep 12 · 15:25M. Senyk1.30911691O. Kulbach3.4011811103WSep 12 · 13:25P. Chyzh1.30811171O. Kulbach3.4011116113LSep 12 · 12:25V. Moroz1.6111912113O. Kulbach2.209111081WSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113LSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143
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