TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121996
Played Sep 13Finished
Mykyta Kornijchuk
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–7Last 9Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9113111181311118
Mykhailo Senyk
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykyta Kornijchuk above · Mykhailo Senyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 96 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 58.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Kornijchuk 1–1 Mykhailo Senyk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Senyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kornijchuk 599 vs Senyk 631
Senyk
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kornijchuk 40% vs Senyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kornijchuk 22% vs Senyk 60%
Senyk
Wrong
38pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kornijchuk -1 · Senyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Senyk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKornijchuk 2.38 / Senyk 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Senyk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13121996
Kornijchuk2.38
22%won 2 of 9 · last 10
oldest → newest
22%takes the first set · 2 of 9
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Senyk1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 74 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it83% 52 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKornijchuk1wins
AwaySenyk1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKornijchukSenykK − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match32.541.5−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKornijchukSenykBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 143 / 34830%41.1%3 / 10 vs 143 / 348Avg sets wonper match1.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match30.735.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenykKornijchuk 2.38/Senyk 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kornijchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 13 · 06:55M. Kornijchuk47931113113M. Senyk49111181182
LSep 12 · 12:55M. Kornijchuk1844100M. Senyk341111123
M. Kornijchuk9
LSep 13 · 04:55M. Kornijchuk1.283970O. Kulbach3.501111113WSep 12 · 18:55M. Kornijchuk1.441111113O. Kulbach2.639730WSep 12 · 16:55V. Moroz2.1089111182M. Kornijchuk1.67111198113LSep 12 · 14:55P. Chyzh1.5313912113M. Kornijchuk2.3811111031LSep 12 · 13:55M. Kornijchuk2.384850V. Sydorchuk1.531111103LSep 12 · 12:55M. Senyk1.911111123M. Kornijchuk1.8044100LSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk1.835670O. Bolnyh1.831111113
M. Senyk10
LSep 13 · 05:25M. Senyk1.5081111232V. Sydorchuk2.50116511113WSep 12 · 18:25M. Senyk1.731111103V. Sydorchuk2.006990LSep 12 · 16:25P. Chyzh1.501113113M. Senyk2.5071160LSep 12 · 15:25M. Senyk1.30911691O. Kulbach3.4011811103WSep 12 · 14:25V. Moroz3.50116501M. Senyk1.287111123WSep 12 · 12:55M. Senyk1.911111123M. Kornijchuk1.8044100WSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143LSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181
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