TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121998
Played Sep 13Finished
Mykyta Kornijchuk
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–6Last 8Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311911711––––
Oleksii Kulbach
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeMykyta Kornijchuk to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykyta Kornijchuk above · Oleksii Kulbach below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Mykyta Kornijchuk at 73.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Kornijchuk 1–1 Oleksii Kulbach Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Kornijchuk beat Kulbach 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:18What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kornijchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kornijchuk 603 vs Kulbach 423
Kornijchuk
Wrong
both rated, 180 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kornijchuk 40% vs Kulbach 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kornijchuk 25% vs Kulbach 40%
Kulbach
Correct
15pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kornijchuk +2 · Kulbach -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kornijchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulbach form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKornijchuk 1.28 / Kulbach 3.50
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Kornijchuk)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13121998
Kornijchuk1.28
25%won 2 of 8 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest25%takes the first set · 2 of 8
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kulbach3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog16% won 16 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back7% 5 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKornijchuk1wins
AwayKulbach1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKornijchukKulbachKornijchuk − KulbachBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.034.0+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKornijchukKulbachBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 8 vs 46 / 19525%23.6%2 / 8 vs 46 / 195Avg sets wonper match1.31.4per matchAvg pointsper match30.133.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KornijchukKornijchuk 1.28/Kulbach 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.1%
Kornijchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kulbach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 12 · 18:55M. Kornijchuk331111113O. Kulbach199730
LSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk41211117102O. Kulbach49118711123
M. Kornijchuk8
WSep 12 · 18:55M. Kornijchuk1.441111113O. Kulbach2.639730WSep 12 · 16:55V. Moroz2.1089111182M. Kornijchuk1.67111198113LSep 12 · 14:55P. Chyzh1.5313912113M. Kornijchuk2.3811111031LSep 12 · 13:55M. Kornijchuk2.384850V. Sydorchuk1.531111103LSep 12 · 12:55M. Senyk1.911111123M. Kornijchuk1.8044100LSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk1.835670O. Bolnyh1.831111113
O. Kulbach10
LSep 12 · 18:55M. Kornijchuk1.441111113O. Kulbach2.639730LSep 12 · 17:25O. Kulbach5.00911651V. Sydorchuk1.141181173WSep 12 · 15:25M. Senyk1.30911691O. Kulbach3.4011811103WSep 12 · 13:25P. Chyzh1.30811171O. Kulbach3.4011116113LSep 12 · 12:25V. Moroz1.6111912113O. Kulbach2.209111081WSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113LSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143WSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113
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