TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122196
Played Sep 13Finished
Mykhailo Senyk
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411611911––––
Vasyl Moroz
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Vasyl Moroz below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 52 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 76.6%
52 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 18–4 Vasyl Moroz Vasyl Moroz has won 4 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Senyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-4 in 22
Senyk
Wrong
gap of 14 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senyk 629 vs Moroz 480
Senyk
Wrong
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 40% vs Moroz 20%
Senyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 50% vs Moroz 30%
Senyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk -1 · Moroz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Senyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 1.28 / Moroz 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Senyk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13122196
Senyk1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 74 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it83% 52 of 63
Moroz3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 21 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenyk7wins
AwayMoroz3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenyk57.1%4 of 7
AwayMoroz0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senyk7Moroz3n = 10Senyk took 7 of 10
S2Senyk6Moroz4n = 10Senyk took 6 of 10
S3Senyk8Moroz2n = 10Senyk took 8 of 10
S4Senyk5Moroz4n = 9Senyk took 5 of 9
S5Senyk1Moroz3n = 4Moroz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenykMorozS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.438.0+3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykMorozBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 348 vs 34 / 11241.1%30.4%143 / 348 vs 34 / 112Avg sets wonper match1.71.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.034.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenykSenyk 1.28/Moroz 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.6%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Moroz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 14:25M. Senyk317111123V. Moroz22116501
WSep 1 · 08:05M. Senyk45111112113V. Moroz38991461
WAug 7 · 08:55M. Senyk452111110113V. Moroz4711881282
WAug 6 · 08:55M. Senyk331111113V. Moroz186480
WAug 5 · 17:55M. Senyk4611913133V. Moroz4181111111
LJul 9 · 17:55M. Senyk4411711872V. Moroz49911711113
WJul 2 · 08:55M. Senyk4071111113V. Moroz33116791
WJul 1 · 15:55M. Senyk4211118123V. Moroz335711101
LJun 19 · 07:55M. Senyk44111011572V. Moroz49812711113
LJun 18 · 16:55M. Senyk44111111742V. Moroz50713811113
M. Senyk10
LSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.201311113M. Senyk4.3311690WSep 13 · 07:55M. Senyk1.361113123O. Kulbach3.00811100LSep 13 · 06:55M. Kornijchuk2.38931113113M. Senyk1.53111181182LSep 13 · 05:25M. Senyk1.5081111232V. Sydorchuk2.50116511113WSep 12 · 18:25M. Senyk1.731111103V. Sydorchuk2.006990LSep 12 · 16:25P. Chyzh1.501113113M. Senyk2.5071160LSep 12 · 15:25M. Senyk1.30911691O. Kulbach3.4011811103WSep 12 · 14:25V. Moroz3.50116501M. Senyk1.287111123WSep 12 · 12:55M. Senyk1.911111123M. Kornijchuk1.8044100WSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113
V. Moroz10
WSep 13 · 09:55O. Kulbach2.3837100V. Moroz1.531111123LSep 13 · 08:25M. Kornijchuk1.6711117113V. Moroz2.10681151LSep 13 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.2251111113V. Moroz4.00116981LSep 13 · 04:25P. Chyzh1.2211515113V. Moroz4.007111341LSep 12 · 17:55P. Chyzh1.228101111113V. Moroz4.0011128972LSep 12 · 16:55V. Moroz2.1089111182M. Kornijchuk1.67111198113WSep 12 · 15:55V. Moroz5.001171110113V. Sydorchuk1.1461151292LSep 12 · 14:25V. Moroz3.50116501M. Senyk1.287111123WSep 12 · 12:25V. Moroz1.6111912113O. Kulbach2.209111081LSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113
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