TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122541
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksii Kulbach
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3117111012––––
Vasyl Moroz
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:42 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeVasyl Moroz to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Kulbach above · Vasyl Moroz below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 54 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Vasyl Moroz at 62.4%
54 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Kulbach 5–10 Vasyl Moroz Oleksii Kulbach has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:42What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Moroz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-10 in 15
Moroz
Correct
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulbach 427 vs Moroz 455
Moroz
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulbach 20% vs Moroz 0%
Kulbach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulbach 40% vs Moroz 20%
Kulbach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulbach -2 · Moroz -5
Moroz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Moroz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moroz form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulbach 2.38 / Moroz 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Moroz)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13122541
Kulbach2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog16% won 16 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back7% 5 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Moroz1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 8 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulbach2wins
AwayMoroz8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMoroz leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulbach66.7%2 of 3
AwayMoroz100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulbach3Moroz7n = 10Moroz took 7 of 10
S2Kulbach7Moroz3n = 10Kulbach took 7 of 10
S3Kulbach2Moroz8n = 10Moroz took 8 of 10
S4Kulbach1Moroz6n = 7Moroz took 6 of 7
S5Kulbach1Moroz2n = 3Moroz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulbachMorozK − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.440.7−4.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulbachMorozBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 197 vs 33 / 11123.9%29.7%47 / 197 vs 33 / 111Avg sets wonper match1.41.5per matchAvg pointsper match33.634.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MorozKulbach 2.38/Moroz 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Moroz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Moroz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 12:25O. Kulbach389111081V. Moroz4311912113
WSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach46121166113V. Moroz47109111162
LAug 7 · 06:55O. Kulbach355111181V. Moroz4211713113
WAug 6 · 10:25O. Kulbach351311113V. Moroz2511950
LJul 9 · 16:25O. Kulbach32811941V. Moroz3411111113
LJul 1 · 17:55O. Kulbach41111225112V. Moroz538101111133
LJun 19 · 04:55O. Kulbach35981171V. Moroz3611113113
LJun 18 · 17:55O. Kulbach225980V. Moroz331111113
LJun 12 · 07:55O. Kulbach55121181682V. Moroz581481114113
LJun 2 · 12:55O. Kulbach25111040V. Moroz361312113
O. Kulbach10
LSep 13 · 07:55M. Senyk1.361113123O. Kulbach3.00811100LSep 13 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.259111011113O. Kulbach3.7511312792WSep 13 · 04:55M. Kornijchuk1.283970O. Kulbach3.501111113LSep 12 · 18:55M. Kornijchuk1.441111113O. Kulbach2.639730LSep 12 · 17:25O. Kulbach5.00911651V. Sydorchuk1.141181173WSep 12 · 15:25M. Senyk1.30911691O. Kulbach3.4011811103WSep 12 · 13:25P. Chyzh1.30811171O. Kulbach3.4011116113LSep 12 · 12:25V. Moroz1.6111912113O. Kulbach2.209111081WSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113
V. Moroz10
LSep 13 · 08:25M. Kornijchuk1.6711117113V. Moroz2.10681151LSep 13 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.2251111113V. Moroz4.00116981LSep 13 · 04:25P. Chyzh1.2211515113V. Moroz4.007111341LSep 12 · 17:55P. Chyzh1.228101111113V. Moroz4.0011128972LSep 12 · 16:55V. Moroz2.1089111182M. Kornijchuk1.67111198113WSep 12 · 15:55V. Moroz5.001171110113V. Sydorchuk1.1461151292LSep 12 · 14:25V. Moroz3.50116501M. Senyk1.287111123WSep 12 · 12:25V. Moroz1.6111912113O. Kulbach2.209111081LSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540
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