TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121841
Played Sep 13Finished
Mykyta Kornijchuk
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116118711115––
Vasyl Moroz
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVasyl Moroz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykyta Kornijchuk above · Vasyl Moroz below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Vasyl Moroz at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Kornijchuk 1–0 Vasyl Moroz Vasyl Moroz has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:54What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kornijchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kornijchuk 599 vs Moroz 463
Kornijchuk
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kornijchuk 60% vs Moroz 20%
Kornijchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kornijchuk 30% vs Moroz 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kornijchuk +1 · Moroz -4
Moroz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kornijchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moroz form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKornijchuk 1.67 / Moroz 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kornijchuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13121841
Kornijchuk1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Moroz2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 21 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKornijchuk1wins
AwayMoroz0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKornijchuk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKornijchukMorozK − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.047.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKornijchukMorozBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 33 / 11030%30%3 / 10 vs 33 / 110Avg sets wonper match1.31.5per matchAvg pointsper match30.734.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KornijchukKornijchuk 1.67/Moroz 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Kornijchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kornijchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 12 · 16:55M. Kornijchuk50111198113V. Moroz4789111182
M. Kornijchuk10
WSep 13 · 06:55M. Kornijchuk2.38931113113M. Senyk1.53111181182LSep 13 · 04:55M. Kornijchuk1.283970O. Kulbach3.501111113WSep 12 · 18:55M. Kornijchuk1.441111113O. Kulbach2.639730WSep 12 · 16:55V. Moroz2.1089111182M. Kornijchuk1.67111198113LSep 12 · 14:55P. Chyzh1.5313912113M. Kornijchuk2.3811111031LSep 12 · 13:55M. Kornijchuk2.384850V. Sydorchuk1.531111103LSep 12 · 12:55M. Senyk1.911111123M. Kornijchuk1.8044100LSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk1.835670O. Bolnyh1.831111113
V. Moroz10
LSep 13 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.2251111113V. Moroz4.00116981LSep 13 · 04:25P. Chyzh1.2211515113V. Moroz4.007111341LSep 12 · 17:55P. Chyzh1.228101111113V. Moroz4.0011128972LSep 12 · 16:55V. Moroz2.1089111182M. Kornijchuk1.67111198113WSep 12 · 15:55V. Moroz5.001171110113V. Sydorchuk1.1461151292LSep 12 · 14:25V. Moroz3.50116501M. Senyk1.287111123WSep 12 · 12:25V. Moroz1.6111912113O. Kulbach2.209111081LSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540LSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113
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