TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13149544
Played Sep 18Finished
Mykyta Kornijchuk
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511118211911––
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:08 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bolnyh to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykyta Kornijchuk above · Oleksandr Bolnyh below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 68 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Bolnyh at 68.8%
68 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Kornijchuk 0–1 Oleksandr Bolnyh Mykyta Kornijchuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:08What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Bolnyh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kornijchuk 571 vs Bolnyh 777
Bolnyh
Correct
both rated, 206 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kornijchuk 40% vs Bolnyh 0%
Kornijchuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kornijchuk 40% vs Bolnyh 0%
Kornijchuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kornijchuk -2 · Bolnyh -10
Bolnyh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Bolnyh) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bolnyh form (0%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKornijchuk 3.40 / Bolnyh 1.30
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Bolnyh)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13149544
Kornijchuk3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Bolnyh1.30
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite67% won 38 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKornijchuk0wins
AwayBolnyh1wins
Bolnyh leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKornijchukBolnyhK − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match18.033.0−15.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKornijchukBolnyhBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 13 vs 83 / 18830.8%44.2%4 / 13 vs 83 / 188Avg sets wonper match1.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match29.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BolnyhKornijchuk 3.40/Bolnyh 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Bolnyh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bolnyh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk185670O. Bolnyh331111113
M. Kornijchuk10
LSep 13 · 10:25P. Chyzh1.301111123M. Kornijchuk3.4033100LSep 13 · 09:25M. Kornijchuk3.257790V. Sydorchuk1.331111113WSep 13 · 08:25M. Kornijchuk1.6711117113V. Moroz2.10681151WSep 13 · 06:55M. Kornijchuk2.38931113113M. Senyk1.53111181182LSep 13 · 04:55M. Kornijchuk1.283970O. Kulbach3.501111113WSep 12 · 18:55M. Kornijchuk1.441111113O. Kulbach2.639730WSep 12 · 16:55V. Moroz2.1089111182M. Kornijchuk1.67111198113LSep 12 · 14:55P. Chyzh1.5313912113M. Kornijchuk2.3811111031LSep 12 · 13:55M. Kornijchuk2.384850V. Sydorchuk1.531111103LSep 12 · 12:55M. Senyk1.911111123M. Kornijchuk1.8044100
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 18 · 13:55O. Bolnyh1.73128412113V. Sydorchuk2.001011111042LSep 10 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.1711129113O. Bolnyh4.509101151LSep 10 · 09:55I. Fokin1.17611117113O. Bolnyh4.5011971192LSep 10 · 08:25A. Nikolenko1.131113113O. Bolnyh5.5081170LSep 10 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.008840LSep 10 · 04:25M. Dunas1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.509360LSep 9 · 18:25I. Fokin1.5012119113O. Bolnyh2.501091191LSep 9 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi1.1411811133O. Bolnyh5.005118111LSep 9 · 15:55A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.006570LSep 9 · 13:55M. Dunas1.441111113O. Bolnyh2.636630
Upcoming Matches
M. Kornijchuk
Sep 18 · 14:25M. Kornijchuk—R. Skoropad——Sep 18 · 15:25M. Kornijchuk7.00P. Chyzh1.08—Sep 18 · 15:55M. Kornijchuk4.00V. Sydorchuk1.22—Sep 18 · 16:25M. Kornijchuk2.38M. Senyk1.53—Sep 18 · 16:55M. Kornijchuk—O. Bolnyh——Sep 18 · 17:55M. Kornijchuk2.20M. Senyk1.61—Sep 18 · 18:25M. Kornijchuk4.50V. Sydorchuk1.17—
O. Bolnyh
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