TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13150063
Played Sep 18Finished
Vasyl Moroz
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911811119119119
Mykyta Kornijchuk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:48 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMykyta Kornijchuk to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVasyl Moroz above · Mykyta Kornijchuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 99 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Mykyta Kornijchuk at 62.5%
99 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moroz 0–2 Mykyta Kornijchuk Vasyl Moroz has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kornijchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Moroz 498 vs Kornijchuk 557
Kornijchuk
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moroz 40% vs Kornijchuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moroz 30% vs Kornijchuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moroz -1 · Kornijchuk -3
Kornijchuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kornijchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kornijchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoroz 2.25 / Kornijchuk 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kornijchuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13150063
Moroz2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog28% won 22 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Kornijchuk1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMoroz0wins
AwayKornijchuk2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKornijchuk leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMorozKornijchukM − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match38.545.0−6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorozKornijchukBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 114 vs 4 / 1430.7%28.6%35 / 114 vs 4 / 14Avg sets wonper match1.51.2per matchAvg pointsper match34.329.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KornijchukMoroz 2.25/Kornijchuk 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Kornijchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moroz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 13 · 08:25V. Moroz30681151M. Kornijchuk4011117113
LSep 12 · 16:55V. Moroz4789111182M. Kornijchuk50111198113
V. Moroz10
LSep 18 · 12:25V. Moroz5.5011951132P. Chyzh1.13911115113WSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk1.284690V. Moroz3.501111113WSep 13 · 09:55O. Kulbach2.3837100V. Moroz1.531111123LSep 13 · 08:25M. Kornijchuk1.6711117113V. Moroz2.10681151LSep 13 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.2251111113V. Moroz4.00116981LSep 13 · 04:25P. Chyzh1.2211515113V. Moroz4.007111341LSep 12 · 17:55P. Chyzh1.228101111113V. Moroz4.0011128972LSep 12 · 16:55V. Moroz2.1089111182M. Kornijchuk1.67111198113WSep 12 · 15:55V. Moroz5.001171110113V. Sydorchuk1.1461151292LSep 12 · 14:25V. Moroz3.50116501M. Senyk1.287111123
M. Kornijchuk10
LSep 18 · 12:55M. Kornijchuk3.40511291O. Bolnyh1.3011811113LSep 13 · 10:25P. Chyzh1.301111123M. Kornijchuk3.4033100LSep 13 · 09:25M. Kornijchuk3.257790V. Sydorchuk1.331111113WSep 13 · 08:25M. Kornijchuk1.6711117113V. Moroz2.10681151WSep 13 · 06:55M. Kornijchuk2.38931113113M. Senyk1.53111181182LSep 13 · 04:55M. Kornijchuk1.283970O. Kulbach3.501111113WSep 12 · 18:55M. Kornijchuk1.441111113O. Kulbach2.639730WSep 12 · 16:55V. Moroz2.1089111182M. Kornijchuk1.67111198113LSep 12 · 14:55P. Chyzh1.5313912113M. Kornijchuk2.3811111031LSep 12 · 13:55M. Kornijchuk2.384850V. Sydorchuk1.531111103
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